Russia’s sanctions on European energy companies and the closure of the Sokhranivka transit point in Ukraine this week are a sign that the risk of energy supply disruptions in Central and Eastern Europe is increasing. Meanwhile, changes to the board of the Czech central bank over the coming months, starting with this week’s appointment of Aleš Michl as the next governor, could pave the way for a more dovish MPC that cuts interest rates quickly once inflation drops back. Finally, reports of Turkey’s increased oversight over FX transactions could be the first step towards restrictions that threaten to disrupt activity.
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