Key Issues

The World in 2024

Your guide to the key themes that will shape the global economy and markets in 2024 – and the risks to our core views. And check back for our Q1 2024 macro and market Outlook reports.

r* and the end of the ultra-low rates era

This major new report and interactive data examine the forces that will push equilibrium real interest rates higher in the coming decade and explain what that will mean for market returns.

Spotlight: The economic and market impact of artificial intelligence

Our Spotlight 2023 report and data provides a complete assessment what artificial intelligence will mean for the world economy and financial markets.

The Fracturing of the Global Economy

Our annual deep dive into the big themes which will shape economies and markets in the coming decades. This year's report and online events explore the emergence of US and China-led economic blocs and asks what this will mean for global flows of trade, capital, technology and people, as well as for climate change.

CLIMATE

El Niño – Macro, market and policy impacts

How will the combination of El Niño and human-driven global warming affect commodities and economic performance over the short and long term?

Turkey Economy

Turkey's Make or Break Elections

All our key analysis about 2023's make-or-break elections and their macro and market consequences for the Turkish economy.

Global Economy

The World with Higher Interest Rates

This series previewed the coming DM monetary tightening cycle, showing the size and scope of looming rates hikes and their potential impact on economic and market outcomes.

Africa Economy

Nigeria's Presidential Election

All our coverage of the 2023 election and the challenges facing Africa's biggest economy.

war in ukraine

Russia-Ukraine: The Economic and Market Consequences

All of our key coverage of the war's implications, including its long-term influence on the global economy and markets. This page collects key analysis from across our macro and markets services from the war's earliest months.

UK Economy

UK Market Mayhem

Our coverage of the macro and market fall-out from the Truss-Kwarteng "mini Budget".

BRazil economy

Brazil Votes 2022

Lula vs Bolsonaro was a potentially major risk event in the 2022 political calendar. Here's our coverage.

Euro-zone economy

Europe's Energy Crisis

Rolling macro and markets analysis of how energy supply disruptions around the war in Ukraine shaped the euro-zone outlook.

INFLATION

The Rebirth of Inflation

Our 2021 Spotlight project all about the macro and market consequences of inflation's return to the global economy.

EMERGING MARKETS

The Golden Age for Emerging Markets is Over

In our 2016 Spotlight project, we predicted the end of the high-growth era for EMs. Here we track the progress of that call.

Global Economy

The End of Globalisation

Our 2019 Spotlight project explains why the most recent phase of globalisation is over and what is likely to follow.

COVID-19

Economics After COVID

In 2020, at the pandemic's height, our Spotlight project explored the many ways it would reshape the global economy and market outcomes.