Global Economics

Global Central Bank Watch

27 September, 2018

Fed still going it (almost) alone

We think the Fed is likely to raise interest rates three more times by the middle of next year. By 2020, however, we suspect that Fed officials will reverse course and cut interest rates in response to a slowdown in the economy. Other major central banks will remain a long way behind in their tightening cycles. The Bank of England may raise interest rates a little faster than anticipated by financial markets next year, provided a “no deal” Brexit doesn’t put a spanner in the works

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