Asia Economics Weekly AI sell-off, Thai EV policy shift, BSP under pressure The sharp sell-off in Asian equities, particularly in Korea and Taiwan, is unlikely to have a major direct economic impact. However, concerns that global tech firms could scale back AI investment pose... 6th November 2026 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly Sensex surges amid global equity rout In stark contrast to elsewhere, it has been a very good week for Indian equities, which have rallied by 7% to take the Sensex to its highest since February. This reinforces our view that India's... 6th November 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update AI investment, not equities, key for Korea & Taiwan outlook Sharp falls in equities in Korea and Taiwan will not in themselves have a big impact on either economy. Evidence that global tech firms were scaling back investment plans would be of much greater... 6th November 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly Blue wave makes a lasting US-China reset even less likely While Trump still has relatively free rein over trade and foreign policy, his weakened position in Washington means that Republicans in Congress may be more willing to join the Democrats in resisting... 6th November 2026 · 7 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Investors are underestimating scope for RBA rate cuts Investors share our view that the RBA’s fifth rate hike this year marked the last in the current tightening cycle. But we think that they are underestimating the extent to which the Bank will loosen... 6th November 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Higher defense spending adds to fiscal uncertainty Amidst a severe sell-off in global stock markets, bond investors have shrugged off the government’s plan to lift defence spending significantly over the coming years. While the immediate consequences... 6th November 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Update Can Indonesia’s GDP statistics finally be trusted? Indonesia’s Q3 GDP data show that economic growth picked up to 5.5% y/y and signs that the statistics office has stopped smoothing the data have partly restored our faith in the official figures. But... 5th November 2026 · 3 mins read
Climate Economics Update COP31 struggles for relevance The forthcoming COP31 climate conference risks being overshadowed by the fallout from the US midterms. In any case, the more consequential developments for the green transition are continuing to take... 5th November 2026 · 3 mins read
India Economics Update New services index will aid policymaking over time India’s new Index of Services Production has some notable limitations including a short back series and a lack of coverage in key areas such as health, education and defence. But it is another... 5th November 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Solid external position a buffer for the rupiah, for now Indonesia has a relatively solid external position, with the current account deficit still small and foreign exchange reserves comfortably covering the country’s short-term external financing needs... 4th November 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Household Spending Indicator (September 2026) Household spending volumes rose at the same pace in Q3 as in the previous quarter, which suggests that consumption has yet to slow in response to weaker real income growth. 4th November 2026 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response New Zealand Labour Market (Q3 26) We doubt that the prolonged weakness in New Zealand’s labour market will prevent the RBNZ from hiking rates further at its December meeting but it does mean that the Bank will ultimately tighten... 3rd November 2026 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea’s car industry braces for China Shock 2.0 Korea’s car industry has weathered competition from China relatively well so far, but this resilience may not last as global demand shifts towards electric vehicles (EVs). This poses a growing risk to... 3rd November 2026 · 3 mins read
China Rapid Response Hong Kong GDP (Q3 Preliminary) Hong Kong's economy expanded by 5.2% y/y in Q3, up from 4.2% in Q2 and well above market expectations. In seasonally adjusted q/q terms, growth accelerated to a brisk 1.9%, reversing the previous... 3rd November 2026 · 2 mins read
