Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBA retains hawkish bias, but next move will be a cut While the RBA’s decision to leave rates unchanged today was widely expected, the Board took pains to reiterate that it remains prepared to tighten policy further if needed. However, despite its tough... 11th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting (Aug. 2026) The RBA predictably left rates unchanged at its meeting today.While the Board continued to talk tough on inflation, we don’t believe that it will go as far as to hike rates again this cycle. 11th August 2026 · 2 mins read
China Economics Update Deflationary pressures loom again The m/m declines in both consumer and producer prices in July largely reflect the pullback in global oil prices. But falling prices also underscore that domestic deflationary pressures remain... 10th August 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Update Indonesia – welcome signs of improvement The nomination today of Bank Indonesia’s senior deputy governor, Destry Damayanti, as the sole candidate to replace Perry Warjiyo is a welcome development. It should help ease concerns over the... 10th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily US CPI may prove a sterner test for markets than payrolls Equity markets shrugged off last week’s big downside surprise in US payrolls but would probably find negative news on US inflation harder to absorb. That would also put renewed pressure on the yen... 10th August 2026 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Update New Thai government is squandering a rare chance for reform Thailand’s re-elected government began its new term with a strong mandate and a rare opportunity to pursue structural reform to boost long-term growth. Six months on, that opportunity risks being... 10th August 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly US import bans are a double-edged sword The US is considering banning imports of Chinese optical transceivers, according to a Reuters report published this week. While a transceiver ban alone wouldn't do much to dent exports, the risk for... 7th August 2026 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly Data centre constraints, equities to outperform, July CPI Reports this week that Google’s planned AI data centre in Andhra Pradesh is facing stiff opposition over its environmental impact have highlighted the challenges facing India’s digital ambitions... 7th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly BoK hawkish as inflation eases across Asia Inflation in Korea fell in August, but hawkish minutes from the BOK’s July meeting suggest that further tightening is likely. While it will be a close call, we expect the next hike to come in October... 7th August 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Update Philippines: war and corruption campaign weigh on growth The Philippines slowed further in the second quarter of the year as the impact of the ongoing anti-corruption campaign and higher inflation brought about by the crisis in the Middle East weighed... 7th August 2026 · 3 mins read
China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Jul. 2026) The boom in Chinese trade slowed a touch in July but the big picture is that export and import values remain elevated, helped by soaring global demand for electronics and green tech products. Crude... 7th August 2026 · 7 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly FX Intervention won’t fix Japan’s credibility problem Joint US-Japan intervention provided some initial support to the yen. However, the currency has since given back some of its gains, and we don’t believe official purchases can substitute for a... 7th August 2026 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Weak labour market will give RBNZ pause for thought New Zealand’s unemployment rate rose more sharply last quarter than the Reserve Bank of New Zealand had anticipated and leading indicators suggest that it will remain high for now. Accordingly, we... 7th August 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update AI will boost office demand in tech hubs as long as the bubble lasts We expect AI firms to drive office demand in key tech hubs as they expand and compete for top talent, although this exposure heightens the downside risk for the least diversified tech markets if we... 6th August 2026 · 6 mins read
FX Markets Update Your questions on Japan’s markets answered The yen had weakened to a 40-year low against the dollar before FX intervention prompted a rebound last week, while the 10-year JGB yield is close to multi-year highs. This Update answers key client... 6th August 2026 · 5 mins read
FX Markets Update 2024-style carry trade unwind still appears unlikely While carry trade positioning appears to have increased over the past couple of years, we doubt the recent yen intervention alone will trigger a carry trade unwind and a rapid yen appreciation along... 5th August 2026 · 4 mins read