Latin America Economics Update The implications of Mexican tariffs on China Mexico’s plans, reported by Bloomberg, to put tariffs on imports from China (and possibly other parts of Asia) target many of the government’s goals – appeasing the US, mending the public finances and... 28th August 2025 · 5 mins read
China Activity Monitor CAP: Growth picks up, but economy remains weak Our China Activity Proxy shows that China’s economy accelerated last month, with growth picking up across all sectors. Still, the economy remains far weaker than official estimates suggest. We expect... 28th August 2025 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ’s independence not under threat While New Zealand’s Prime Minister has indicated a desire for more aggressive policy loosening by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the institutional framework limits the government’s ability to... 28th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: On hold, but further easing coming The Bank of Korea left interest rates unchanged today at 2.50% but made clear hints in its statement and press conference that this does not mark the end of the easing cycle. With growth set to... 28th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Emerging Markets Capital Flows Monitor (Aug. 2025) Capital inflows into EM bond markets appear to have surged over the past month, but outflows from EM equities picked up. Most EMs would be well-placed to cope in the event of a spike in capital... 27th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Climate Economics Monthly Climate Monthly: Tackling overcapacity; plastic pact bottled; beef-flation Overcapacity in China’s solar industry is set to remain a significant concern for policymakers and leading firms – in both China and the West – as the latest plans to address excess production... 27th August 2025 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Update How rising defence spending will impact Asia Defence spending across Asia is set to rise over the coming years, driven in part by increased pressure from the US for its allies to shoulder more of their own security costs. While the overall boost... 27th August 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. We believe monetary easing has further to run in the Antipodes. The case for policy stimulus is clear... 27th August 2025 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Monthly CPI Indicator (July 25) 27th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Asia Chart Pack (August 2025) Our Asia Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Most countries in Asia will face tariffs of 15–25% on their exports to the US, and although these are... 26th August 2025 · 0 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response RBA Minutes (Aug. 2025) Although the RBA will retain its cautious approach for the time being, we believe the Bank will ultimately cut rates further than most are predicting . 26th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Update Ueda overstating structural change in labour market The Bank of Japan is overplaying the importance of structural changes in Japan’s labour market in explaining the post-pandemic pick-up in cost pressures. Even so, we still expect inflation to be... 26th August 2025 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly Millions are about to see their take-home pay fall From 1st September onwards, companies in China and their employees will no longer be able to avoid making social security contributions. This will pave the way for higher pay-outs over the medium-term... 22nd August 2025 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia Weekly: A close call in Korea, BI’s surprise cut While most analysts expect the Bank of Korea to keep rates unchanged at Thursday’s meeting, we are forecasting a cut. Although GDP growth rebounded last quarter, the poor prospects for construction... 22nd August 2025 · 6 mins read