Japan Economics Update Weaker yen should lift inflation before long While any boost from higher energy costs to consumer prices will be short-lived, the continued weakening of the yen will provide a more longer lasting boost to consumer prices in Japan. Accordingly... 1st July 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Australia’s housing downturn has further to run Australian house prices continued to decline in June, and we think they won’t bottom out until early next year. Although much ink has been spilt about recent housing tax changes, they have yet to have... 1st July 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ set to hike, but it will be a close-run thing We expect the RBNZ to begin its tightening cycle next week with a 25bp hike. With firms’ pricing intentions elevated, the Bank will want to guard against higher near-term inflation becoming embedded... 1st July 2026 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily What to make of the never-ending “yentervention” cycle With the USD/JPY rate edging its way through another “line in the sand”, a further round of intervention from the Japanese authorities may well be in the offing. As the past few years have... 30th June 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Asia Chart Pack (June 2026) Asia seems to have largely brushed off the impact of the energy price shock, and most economies look set to record solid growth this year, helped by very strong demand for AI-related products, which... 30th June 2026 · 0 mins read
India Chart Pack India Chart Pack (June 2026) The energy shock has weighed on India’s economy but GDP growth should still average 6.5% in 2026-27, an enviable rate by global standards. Rainfall in the early stages of the monsoon has been weak... 30th June 2026 · 1 min read
China Rapid Response China PMIs (Jun. 2026) The best set of PMI readings so far this year suggests that China’s economy has regained some momentum lately. But this remains heavily dependent on exports and AI-related tech. And despite the... 30th June 2026 (Updated 1st July 2026) · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response RBA Minutes (June 2026) The minutes of the June meeting confirmed that the Board’s decision to leave rates on hold was unanimous. Broadly speaking, however, the minutes revealed that the hold was a hawkish one, with the... 30th June 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Industrial Production & Labour Market (May 26) 30th June 2026 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Bunds could leave Treasuries behind We expect the Treasury rally to run out of steam but think bunds could gain further, weighing on the euro. The yen may eventually fare better, though. 29th June 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly China relaxing restrictions on refined fuel exports China's government will reportedly ease its restrictions on refined fuel exports further next month. That should be reflected in increased refinery output, but it will only support China's crude oil... 26th June 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economic Outlook AI boom rolls on, as falling oil prices provide relief Booming exports of AI-related products have helped offset the drag from higher energy prices and should continue to be an important driver of growth in Asia in the near term. The drop in oil prices... 26th June 2026 · 24 mins read
India Economics Weekly Inflation and rates to rise by more than consensus expects This week we published our Q3 India Economic Outlook, which contains all of our latest forecasts and analysis of India’s economy and financial markets. The key points of difference between our views... 26th June 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Good news for Indonesia, but investor concerns remain Indonesia has avoided an immediate MSCI downgrade from EM status, but its continued inclusion now depends on further progress in market reforms ahead of a November review. The decision is therefore a... 26th June 2026 · 5 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (June 2026) China’s economy is growing at a slower rate than the official figures show, but growth has held steady at around 3% for the past year. Exports continue to surge on the back of strong global demand for... 26th June 2026 · 1 min read