China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Jun. 2025) Growth in export values rebounded somewhat last month, helped by the US-China trade truce. But tariffs are likely to remain high and Chinese manufacturers face growing constraints on their ability to... 14th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Asia Rapid Response Singapore GDP Q2 2025 (Advance estimate) Singapore’s economy rebounded sharply during the second quarter, but we doubt this resilience will last. We expect a broad-based slowdown in the coming quarters and continue to expect the central bank... 14th July 2025 · 2 mins read
Event Drop-In: Is Japan’s fiscal situation reaching a breaking point? 1753257600 The LDP’s weak performance in the Upper House elections signals pressure for looser fiscal policy, just as the Bank of Japan is constrained from tackling rising inflation in the face
Event ANZ Drop-In: How fast, how low? How Q2 CPI data could dictate RBA rate cuts 1753842600 The Reserve Bank of Australia has consistently advocated a cautious approach to policy easing.
China Economics Weekly China Weekly: Tackling overcapacity will require demand-side stimulus China’s leadership appears to be embarking on a campaign of supply-side measures aimed at tackling overcapacity and deflation. But local officials may balk at the economic cost of implementing them... 11th July 2025 · 8 mins read
India Economics Weekly India Weekly: Falling inflation, trade uncertainty, equity underperformance June inflation data, due next week, is set to show headline inflation dropping to 2.6% y/y — the lowest in over six years — driven by tumbling food prices. Despite this, the RBI is unlikely to respond... 11th July 2025 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia Weekly: Tariff uncertainty to drag on, export boom won’t last The reciprocal tariff rates announced this week as part of Liberation Day 2.0 were largely unchanged from April, though a few smaller countries in South East Asia saw their rates cut. While the lack... 11th July 2025 · 8 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Japan Weekly: Stalling trade negotiations may delay BoJ rate hikes We still expect a trade deal with the US to be agree upon after the Upper House elections on 20 th July. However, given that very few countries have managed to reach an agreement so far, the... 11th July 2025 · 6 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly ANZ Weekly: RBA to drag out easing cycle as caution prevails The RBA’s decision to leave rates unchanged at its meeting this week came as a surprise to most. As it turns out, a majority of the Board preferred to wait for the full Q2 CPI data (due by end-July)... 11th July 2025 · 5 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM disinflation has further to run Aggregate EM inflation is now at its lowest level in four years, with notable declines this year across Asia. We still think the outlook will be characterised by higher inflation in Latin America and... 10th July 2025 · 5 mins read
Climate Economics Update EU tariffs not stopping China’s EV exporters Auto exporters in China have adapted to the EU’s tariffs on EVs by lowering export prices and focusing on vehicles that are not subject to tariffs. Even if trade restrictions were to remain in place... 10th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update APAC property to underperform globally Poor performance in the US and APAC property markets is set to drag on the global recovery over the next few years. While strong economic fundamentals argue for a material improvement in total returns... 10th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: on hold, but more easing to come The Bank of Korea left interest rates unchanged at its meeting today (at 2.50%), but gave strong hints that the easing cycle still had further to run. With growth set to struggle and inflation... 10th July 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property Asia-Pacific capital values fell at a slower rate of 3.4% y/y in Q1, driven by smaller declines in Australia and Hong Kong. But looking ahead, we expect the upturn in both investment... 9th July 2025 · 0 mins read
Asia Economics Update Time to worry about deflation in Asia? Outside of China, there is no immediate threat of any other country in Asia falling into a prolonged period of deflation. That said, persistently weak price pressures are likely to remain a worry for... 9th July 2025 · 3 mins read
