Emerging Europe Economics

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

24 August, 2016

Regional recovery to disappoint, rates to come down

Growth across Emerging Europe is likely to pick up in 2017-18, but it will be softer than most anticipate. While the region’s largest economy, Russia, will return to positive growth in the coming quarters, the recovery will be sluggish. In Central Europe, there’s no sign that Brexit has had any impact, but the tailwinds that propelled these economies last year are starting to fade. We expect growth to slow and settle at a more normal pace of 2.5-3.0%. Weaker growth in Russia and Central

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