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CEE inflation won’t follow euro-zone to target in 2024

Investors increased their expectations for interest rate cuts by the ECB after November’s soft euro-zone inflation print this week, but in parts of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) the latest developments suggest inflation will take a lot longer to fall back to target. One key exception to this story is Czechia; we think weak demand-side price pressures there will provide scope for interest rates to fall further than most expect over the coming year.

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