Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments.
Latin American economies fared poorly in Q3 and we think that headwinds ranging from lower commodity prices, softer wage growth and tight fiscal policy will keep growth below consensus expectations in the next couple of years. Weaker growth and a more benign inflation picture underpin our view that interest rates in most countries will come down by more than most are currently anticipating in the next 12 months or so. Colombia is the key exception where we hold an above-consensus rate view.
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