Latin America Economic Outlook

Stuck in the slow lane

Tight fiscal stances, deteriorating terms of trade and weakening labour markets mean that Latin American economies will continue to struggle and we think regional growth will come in below 2% in the...

10th September 2026 · 21 mins read

Latin America Chart Pack

Latin America Chart Pack (August 2026)

Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Growth in Latin America last quarter was a mixed bag, with Colombia the region’s...

26th August 2026 · 1 min read

Latin America Economics Update

Argentina’s uneven growth to persist

Growth in Argentina’s economy remains unbalanced and we think that large parts of it (outside mining and agriculture) will continue to struggle over the rest of Milei’s term due to fiscal tightening...

25th August 2026 · 4 mins read

Latin America Economics Weekly

Colombia’s outperformance, Banxico’s divide

This week’s activity data point to a big divergence in growth across Latin America, with Argentina underperforming and Colombia leading the pack. But growth in Colombia remains worryingly unbalanced...

21st August 2026 · 5 mins read

Latin America Economics Weekly

What next for BanRep?, Argentina’s China ties

One immediate macro impact of the change of government in Colombia later today will be on monetary policy, and a more hawkish central bank stance is on the cards in the near term. Elsewhere, the...

7th August 2026 · 5 mins read

Latin America Economics Update

The macro implications of Lat Am’s shift to the right

The political shift to the right in Latin America is likely to lead to a stronger geopolitical alignment with the US and economic policies that reduce country risk premia. Economic reforms may allow...

29th July 2026 · 5 mins read

Latin America Economics Weekly

Argentine joy, oil price jump, Brazil tariffs

The US's announcement of a 25% Section 301 US import tariff on Brazil made a splash this week, but the macroeconomic effect is likely to limited. Meanwhile, the renewed rise in oil prices would - if...

17th July 2026 · 5 mins read

Latin America Economics Weekly

Mixed news on inflation, Argentina’s debt repayment

The larger-than-expected rise in inflation in the Andes in June is likely to pave the way for an interest rate hike in Peru while increasing the chances of Colombia’s central bank continuing its...

10th July 2026 · 5 mins read

Latin America Economics Update

Argentina’s rebalancing: progress, but more to be done

Argentina’s rebalancing process has entered a more challenging phase and the government now faces the tricky trade-off between maintaining a strong exchange rate to bring down inflation or loosening...

9th July 2026 · 4 mins read

Latin America Chart Pack

Latin America Chart Pack (June 2026)

Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. The US-Iran deal and fall in oil prices reduces the tailwind for the region’s...

24th June 2026 · 1 min read

Latin America Economic Outlook

Diverging rate paths

Latin America has been resilient to the energy shock but other headwinds are likely to hold back regional growth to around 2% over the coming years, making it the worst-performing EM region. The...

18th June 2026 · 21 mins read

Latin America Chart Pack

Latin America Chart Pack (May 2026)

Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. High energy prices have given a boost to terms of trade in many Latin American...

27th May 2026 · 1 min read

Latin America Economics Update

Argentina: Vaca Muerta fuels energy turnaround

The surge in shale oil and gas production in the Vaca Muerta field over the past few years has turned Argentina from a net energy importer into an exporter, meaning that – unlike during previous...

22nd April 2026 · 4 mins read

Latin America Chart Pack

Latin America Chart Pack (Apr. 2026)

Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Many major Latin American economies have received a terms-of-trade boost from the...

16th April 2026 · 1 min read

Latin America Economics Update

High energy prices a double-edged sword

Latin America as a whole is a net beneficiary from higher energy prices, but the terms of trade boost is limited (or in Mexico’s case more than offset) by a lack of domestic refining capacity. The...

13th April 2026 · 5 mins read