Skip to main content

Is Japan overheating?

Japan’s economy recorded an eighth consecutive quarter of growth in Q4, the longest uninterrupted run of expansion since the late 1980s. Unemployment is very low, inflation has started to pick up, condominium prices have soared and credit growth is the strongest it has been since the 1980s bubble. However, private debt remains low relative to output. And with wages barely rising and inflation likely to remain well below the Bank of Japan’s target for the foreseeable future, this doesn’t add up to overheating.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to gain:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services


Get access