US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Jun. 2025) Housing is struggling under the weight of high borrowing costs – a problem unlikely to ease if, as we expect, the Fed holds rates steady this year due to tariff-driven inflation, followed by only a... 30th June 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update Dip in house prices won’t turn into deeper correction Recent house price declines suggest a shift toward a more buyer-friendly market, as rising home listings increase choice and temper seller expectations. Nonetheless, leading indicators and solid... 30th June 2025 · 4 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Outlook APAC Commercial Property Outlook: Values to fall as region’s markets struggle to recover The outlook for the Asia-Pacific markets is relatively poor. We think higher-for-longer bond yields will limit the pace of recovery in this cycle globally, but this will be compounded by a weak... 27th June 2025 · 20 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook US Commercial Property Outlook: More capital value falls to come in all sectors this year We think the short-term outlook for capital values is poor, with valuations looking stretched across all measures. This does not appear to be reflected in other forecasts, meaning our forecasts for... 24th June 2025 · 22 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Apr. 2025) After falling in March, the further 0.3% m/m decline in house prices in April raises the risk that prices are entering a sustained downturn, as the market finally buckles under the weight of near-7%... 24th June 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update UK multifamily returns to be supported by easing costs A combination of factors, including surging energy and wage costs and an increased regulatory burden, have pushed multifamily operational costs to over 40% of rent, cutting income returns. But with... 19th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (May 2025) The sharp drop in housing starts in May is not as bad as it looks, as it was entirely due to a steep decline in groundbreaking in the volatile multi-family sector, while unseasonably wet weather in... 18th June 2025 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Mortgage Applications (May 2025) The rise in home purchase mortgage applications in May still leaves them just shy of where they were in January and very low by historical standards, supporting our view that homebuying activity will... 4th June 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property capital values edged up by 0.1% in Q1, marking the first increase since mid-2022. Meanwhile, appraisal-based cap rates were flat after compressing by a slight margin in Q4 2024. We still... 30th May 2025 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (May 2025) We suspect most of the recent weakness in housing demand and prices is due to the temporary influence of the rise in stamp duty on 1st April rather than any longer-lasting influence from the softer... 29th May 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Focus What COVID-19 means for real estate out to 2030 and beyond The pandemic is firmly in our collective rear-view mirrors, but five years on, its effects continue to drive real estate performance differentials. We expect it to remain integral to driving winners... 28th May 2025 · 15 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Residential in the UK and the Netherlands to outperform European residential property outperformed all-property for the third consecutive year in 2024 and our updated forecasts suggest that this will continue over the coming five years. Returns were... 27th May 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US New Home Sales (Apr. 2025) Despite various headwinds and weakness elsewhere in the housing market, new home sales grew strongly in April. We do not expect that this strength will be maintained throughout the year, though, as... 23rd May 2025 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (May 2025) A tariff-driven resurgence in inflation will likely keep the Fed from cutting this year, keeping mortgage rates near 7.0%. Some relief may come in 2026 and 2027 as rates drop back to 6.5%. Nonetheless... 22nd May 2025 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Should we be worried about the UAE’s credit boom? Credit growth in the UAE has boomed, fuelling a sharp rise in property prices, particularly in Dubai. Prices are now at risk of a correction which, in the past, has fed into banking and debt worries... 20th May 2025 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Apr. 2025) The small rebound in housing starts in April is more troubling than it appears, as it barely recoups the sharp, weather-related decline seen in March and conceals renewed weakness in both single- and... 16th May 2025 · 2 mins read
