A victory for the candidate of the ruling coalition, Rafał Trzaskowski, in Poland’s presidential election on Sunday would remove a key roadblock to the government’s efforts to improve the independence of the judiciary. That would support the medium-term growth outlook and could provide some support to the zloty. In contrast, a win for opposition candidate, Karol Nawrocki, would continue to block the government’s reform drive and may spark a negative reaction in Poland's financial markets.
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