Skip to main content

What to make of the (slightly) mixed messages in markets

In recent weeks, it has often looked as though equity markets aren’t quite on the same page as bond and currency markets. Indeed, despite its fall today, the S&P 500 remains within touching distance of the all-time high it reached only last week. And while the index is down by around 1.5% today (as of 16:30 GMT), that pales in comparison to the plunge in government bond yields: the US 10-year Treasury yield is down ~10bp, one of the largest single day falls in recent years. Indeed, since early June, it has fallen by ~40bp and is now at its lowest level since early February. Meanwhile, in currency markets the US dollar has strengthened across the board, and safe havens have generally outperformed riskier currencies.

Become a client to read more

This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.

Already have an account?

You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.

Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it

Register for free

Sign up for a free account to gain:

  • Unlock additional content
  • Register for Capital Economics events
  • Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
  • Request a free trial of our services


Get access