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Real Estate Drop-In: Asia-Pacific commercial real estate – Risks to this recovery

Asia-Pacific is heading for its weakest commercial real estate recovery on record. That’s the key takeaway from our inaugural APAC Commercial Property Outlook and the focus of a special online briefing with our real estate economics team.

In this session APAC real estate lead economist Henry Chan and Chief Commercial Real Estate Economist Kiran Raichura walk through the region’s outlook, discuss how it compares globally and highlight where investors can still find outperformance. The team addressed key issues, including:

  • The macro forces behind the region’s sluggish investment recovery;
  • Why we expect capital values in Hong Kong to fall by another 20% across all four major sectors;
  • Why Tokyo and Seoul are set to lead the regional office recovery;
  • Why Singapore’s retail rental growth will outpace Hong Kong’s over the next two years;
  • Why Asia is likely to underperform the US, UK and euro-zone over our five-year forecast horizon.
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