Nordic & Swiss Economics

Nordic & Swiss Economic Outlook

22 January, 2018

Exchange rates to diverge as Swedish krona rises

Prospects for the Nordic economies and Switzerland are strong, but there are divergent outlooks for monetary policy. In Sweden, inflation is already close to the Riksbank’s target and, with capacity constraints starting to bite, inflationary pressures are growing. We therefore think that the Riksbank will raise interest rates in September and tighten policy faster than investors currently expect in 2019, causing the Swedish krona to appreciate against the euro. While the Norges Bank has signalled

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