Europe Economics Update Energy-driven inflation won’t force the SNB’s hand We think that the SNB will leave its policy rate unchanged at next week’s meeting. While higher energy prices have pushed inflation higher, underlying price pressures are weak and inflation is set to... 17th September 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Commercial Property Focus Which global self-storage markets are ready for blast off? The Nordics and Switzerland stand out amongst a set of 19 global self-storage markets for their potential growth over the next 5-10 years. These markets will see a reasonably high rate of home-moving... 9th September 2026 · 12 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2026) Property markets were relatively unaffected by the Iran war in Q2, with investment activity strengthening and property yields rising only modestly. Assuming the Strait of Hormuz is not disrupted for a... 20th August 2026 · 0 mins read
Europe Economics Update Franc to rally when AI bubble bursts The bursting of the AI bubble that we suspect will happen next year, and the resulting pick-up in safe-haven demand, would most likely cause the franc to appreciate against the euro. 19th August 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Swiss Flash GDP (Q2 2026) The surge in sporting event adjusted GDP in Q2 shows that the Swiss economy shrugged off the increase in energy prices. With timelier survey data looking strong too, the economy looks set to put in... 14th August 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q3 2026) Commercial property valuations improved in Q2 as alternative asset yields fell and property yields edged slightly higher. While rises in government bond yields so far in Q3 will be a drag, we expect... 5th August 2026 · 0 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Prime office outperformance to wane The limited hit to economic activity from the Iran war and our expectation that risk-free rates will fall back mean we forecast only a temporary slowdown in European commercial property value growth... 1st July 2026 · 22 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Energy prices normalising; digital euro coming (in 2029) ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said this week the Bank would need to raise interest rates further, in part because energy prices were still “measurably higher” than before the Iran war... 26th June 2026 · 7 mins read
Europe Economic Outlook One and done for the ECB Provided that the deal to re-open the Strait of Hormuz results in a sustained recovery in energy flows, the damage to economic activity in the euro-zone will prove to be mild and brief. Excluding... 23rd June 2026 · 25 mins read
Europe Economics Update SNB rates will remain unchanged, all eyes on the franc The SNB left its policy rate unchanged at zero today and we think it will keep rates on hold over the next couple of years. Its commentary shows that the Bank is confident that the current monetary... 18th June 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Suites of scenarios, models and European central banks The ECB's updated projections imply that at least one more interest rate hike will be necessary. But the absence of any clear guidance in yesterday's ECB press conference was arguably a dovish signal... 12th June 2026 · 6 mins read
Europe Economics Update SNB set to look through energy price shock Despite the ECB’s rate hike today, we think the SNB will leave its policy rate unchanged at zero next week. Higher energy prices have already pushed up energy inflation but overall inflation remains... 11th June 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Focus European student housing outperformance has further to run The two-decade period of student accommodation outperformance in Europe is set to continue, supported by higher income returns, favourable structural demand drivers and still-tight supply. Within... 9th June 2026 · 11 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2026) Prime office values continued to grow strongly in Q1, in contrast to a further slowdown in the retail and industrial sectors. These two sectors are also more vulnerable to the impacts of the Iran war... 3rd June 2026 · 0 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q2 2026) Commercial property valuations worsened in Q1 as the Iran war pushed alternative asset yields higher. Looking ahead, valuations could worsen further and property yields could come under upward... 28th May 2026 · 0 mins read