Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments.
We doubt that the region’s strong start to the year will be sustained given the backdrop of lower commodity prices, tight policy and, in Mexico’s case in particular, uncertainty around US trade policy. Despite the recent dovish shift by many of the region’s central banks, elevated inflation will probably prevent officials from lowering interest rates as far as most analysts are expecting. Mexico is the key exception where we think weak growth and the resilience of the peso will pave the way for more loosening this year.
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