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Nigeria and the risks stemming from demonetisation

The Nigerian central bank’s plans to replace high-value bank notes by the end of January will, if India’s experience in 2016 is anything to go by, disrupt activity and fail to address some of the problems (e.g. illicit activity) that policymakers are trying to tackle. And, taking a step back, it is a sign that policymakers are willing to do anything other than deliver the orthodox macro policies that investors seek.

EM Drop-In (Thursday 3rd Nov): This 20-minute emerging markets briefing will take in our latest views on how the macroeconomic picture will inform EM financial markets, what Brazil’s election result means for the country’s economic outlook and our forecasts for Hungary’s forint and the Colombian peso. Register here.

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