Africa Economics Weekly Kenyan shilling, South Africa’s port deal Kenya’s central bank cut interest rates by another 25bp earlier this week, to 9.00%, but the extent of further monetary loosening is likely to rest on what happens next with the shilling, which is... 12th December 2025 · 7 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly SA data rush gives reason to be (somewhat) upbeat The raft of economic data released in South Africa over the past week suggests that the economy will continue to expand at a solid (albeit unspectacular) pace over the course of 2026-27. Will the AI... 5th December 2025 · 6 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly US-Africa relations, Ghana and Nigeria rates, SARB FSR US rhetoric toward Africa hardened this week, with fresh funding threats and tighter immigration measures. As Washington’s ties with the region deteriorate, China and middle players like the UAE... 28th November 2025 · 6 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly Worsening relations with the US, SARB rate cut Both South Africa and Nigeria have seen diplomatic relations with the US become more strained this week, although for now domestic dynamics should continue to support a more positive growth outlook in... 21st November 2025 · 7 mins read
Africa Economics Update SARB cuts and strikes a dovish tone The South African Reserve Bank resumed its easing cycle today with a 25bp cut (to 6.75%) and the dovish accompanying communication increases our confidence that the SARB will cut the repo by another... 20th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Africa Economics Update South Africa’s economy lost momentum in Q3 The latest activity data suggest that South Africa’s GDP growth slowed a touch in Q3, to around 0.5% q/q, and we expect it to remain around this rate over the coming quarters, helped by improved terms... 19th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly MTBPS fallout, renminbi debt risks South Africa’s Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana couldn’t have wished for a better response from investors to this week’s Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) and his decision to lower the... 14th November 2025 · 6 mins read
Africa Economics Update South Africa: an opportunistic MTBPS South Africa’s finance minister used today’s Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) as an opportunity to spend a large chunk of a recent revenue windfall to boost the economy. But this is likely... 12th November 2025 · 4 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly Trump takes aim at Nigeria, build up to MTBPS Nigeria became the latest country to face President Trump's wrath this week. For now, there are reasons to think that any economic impact will be limited. But it’s another reason for African... 7th November 2025 · 6 mins read
Emerging Markets Financial Risk Monitor EM Financial Risk Monitor (Oct. 2025) EM financial markets have continued to perform well in the past quarter, with currencies holding firm against the US dollar and sovereign bond spreads narrowing in many places. This has been supported... 29th October 2025 · 1 min read
Africa Chart Pack Africa Chart Pack (Oct. 2025) Our Africa Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. GDP growth across Sub-Saharan Africa is set to accelerate over the next couple of years supported... 29th October 2025 · 0 mins read