Egypt’s balance sheet risks high but likely to recede

Egypt’s devaluation and shift back towards macro orthodoxy 18 months ago have put the economy back on the path towards restoring macroeconomic stability. The situation is still very fragile – Egypt gets high risk scores on our proprietary EM Financial Risk Indicators. However, the government’s efforts to tighten fiscal policy as well as external support from bilateral partners make us reasonably confident that crisis risks will fade over the course of 2026.

We recently hosted a Drop-in running through the risks facing Egypt that can be viewed on-demand here.