Donald Trump’s surprise victory in the US election has led to a rash of sizeable downgrades to growth forecasts for Mexico, including several predictions of a recession. But we think the impact over the next couple of years will be less severe than most expect. We’re nudging down our GDP growth forecasts only modestly to 1.8% in 2017 and 2.2% in 2018 (previously 2.2% and 2.5%). Instead, we think the bigger risks lie beyond 2018.
Become a client to read more
This is premium content that requires an active Capital Economics subscription to view.
Already have an account?
You may already have access to this premium content as part of a paid subscription.
Sign in to read the content in full or get details of how you can access it
Register for free
Sign up for a free account to gain:
- Unlock additional content
- Register for Capital Economics events
- Receive email updates and economist-curated newsletters
- Request a free trial of our services