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Trump tariffs targeting Russian oil yet to shock the oil market

The oil market shrugged off the introduction of US "secondary" tariffs on India this week and we expect this to continue to have little impact as long as India continues to purchase Russian oil and secondary tariffs are not expanded. Elsewhere, overcapacity in China's steel sector has received renewed attention, but we do not expect policymakers' reforms to be as much of a prop to steel prices as they have been in the past. 

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