Japan Rapid Response Japan External Trade (May 26) The continued plunge in petroleum imports in May undermines the BoJ’s view that Japan has been making progress in securing alternative sources of raw materials but that’s unlikely to prevent the Bank... 17th June 2026 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Update BoJ will lift rates to 2% by end-2027 The Bank of Japan hiked its policy rate to a three decade high today and signalled less concern about downside risks to activity resulting from the Iran War. With inflation set to pick up as higher... 16th June 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Bank of Japan Meeting (June 26) The Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to a three decade high today and we expect the Bank to accelerate the pace of tightening over the coming months. 16th June 2026 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response China Activity & Spending (May 2026) The May activity data show that strong exports are boosting industrial production, but domestic demand remains lacklustre 16th June 2026 · 2 mins read
Event Drop-In: US-Iran deal – Macro and market implications of a Strait of Hormuz reopening 15th June 2026, 1:00PM BST What will the US-Iran deal to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz mean for the global economic outlook? How long before energy flows are restored?
Capital Daily Peace dividend may not be paid in full to all markets The announcement of a US-Iran deal has given markets a lift across the board, but different responses across central banks this week could see the start of more divergence across bond and FX markets. 15th June 2026 · 5 mins read
China Economics Weekly The PBOC can’t boost household credit demand Slowing credit growth in China is yet another sign of the dwindling consumption appetite of households. Bank lending to households has been contracting outright in recent months, even though liquidity... 12th June 2026 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Outlook for Asian currencies hinges on US-Iran deal Asian currencies have rebounded on hopes of a US–Iran deal and lower oil prices. Stronger currencies would reduce the need for aggressive rate hikes by Asian central banks. 12th June 2026 · 7 mins read
India Rapid Response India Consumer Prices (May 2026) India’s headline consumer price inflation picked up to a 15-month high of 3.9% y/y in May and further rises are going to follow. We think the RBI will start hiking interest rates soon. Consumer price... 12th June 2026 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Oil market “offsets”; gold losing its shine The plunge in China's crude oil imports has helped to cushion the impact of the disruption to the Strait of Hormuz on the global oil market, and we think China could feasibly maintain the status quo... 12th June 2026 · 4 mins read
China Rapid Response Bank Lending & Broad Credit (May.) The net increase in new credit jumped in May, but that just reflects the usual seasonal pattern. Year-on-year growth in aggregate financing to the real economy (AFRE – the PBOC’s preferred measure of... 12th June 2026 · 2 mins read
