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Faster EU Russian energy phase out won’t boost prices

(Updated )

This report is an updated version of an Update originally sent on 20th October 2025.

Given that the EU has already largely discontinued imports of Russian oil and pipeline natural gas, the confirmation that the bloc will completely shift away from Russian natural gas by 2027 is unlikely have significant implications for global energy markets. In the LNG market, trade flow adjustments still need to take place, but new US export capacity – and the potential for Russian exports to be redirected – should limit the potential for a sustained rise in LNG prices.

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