After starting its loosening cycle with a bang, we expect the Fed to take a more measured approach to cutting interest rates from now on.
The latest edition of this quarterly report captures the US economy at a key moment in its economic and policy cycle, providing analysis for the remainder of this year and into 2025. It addresses key economic and policy issues, including:
- How quickly the Federal Reserve will lower rates after the 'big bang' start to its easing cycle;
- Why, despite a cooling labour market, we expect GDP growth to remain strong for the next couple of years;
- How the outcome of this November's election could result in stagflationary economic conditions.
Download a complimentary copy of this report now to understand how the US outlook will fare as rates start falling and November's big vote approaches.
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Report authors
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Paul Ashworth
Chief North America Economist
Paul Ashworth is our Chief North America Economist, with overall responsibility for our coverage of the US and Canada.
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Olivia Cross
North America Economist
Olivia Cross is a North America Economist who joined the Capital Economics graduate training scheme in September 2021. She previously spent a year on placement at the company as part of her undergraduate degree. Olivia holds a degree in Economics with Politics from Loughborough University.
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US economics coverage
Our US Economics coverage provides detailed analysis and independent forecasts for the US economy and financial markets, offering both rapid responses to new data and developments, and more in-depth coverage of key themes, current trends, and future developments.