Skip to main content

Why UK housing demand can recover despite high mortgage rates

Two developments in borrower and lending behaviour mean that housing activity and prices can be higher than before the pandemic for any given mortgage rate. That’s why we expect housing transactions to recover to their pre-pandemic levels and house prices to reach new highs even though mortgage rates will remain higher over the next few years than before the pandemic.

We’ll be discussing the outlook for Bank of England, Fed and ECB policy in a 20-minute online Drop-In at 3pm BST on Thursday 19th June. (Register here.)

We're hosting in-person roundtables at our London office to discuss with our economists and your peers what the government is doing to boost growth at 9am/12.30pm BST on Tuesday 1st July. (Register here.)

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.

By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.