Global Commercial Property Update UK commercial property investment to catch-up with US as rates fall back A divergence in risk-free interest rates in the UK and US since the end of 2024 has led to a marked difference in the level of commercial property investment between the two countries, in part because... 20th July 2026 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Senior housing and retail lead the pack for 2026-30 returns Real estate returns over the coming years will be dominated by the income component, as an increase in cap rates to fully reflect the higher yield environment offsets support for values from rising... 17th July 2026 · 20 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Jun. 2026) Rebound in homebuilding not as good as it looks The strong rebound in housing starts in June wasn’t quite as promising the headline number suggests, as it was entirely driven by a surge in the... 17th July 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update US Pending Home Sales & Mortgage Apps. (Jun. 2026) Pending home sales and purchase mortgage applications both point to existing home sales falling back below a 4m annualised pace in the coming months. With higher Treasury yields likely to put further... 16th July 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Housing Watch (Jul. 2026) The housing market continued to slowly improve in June and the recent rebound in government bond yields is unlikely to be large enough to trigger any renewed near-term weakness. Meanwhile, the... 16th July 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Data centre boom making the RBA’s job harder Australia’s data centre boom has yet to generate a broad-based inflationary impulse. But by adding demand to an already stretched construction sector, it risks prolonging capacity constraints and... 15th July 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chart Pack (July 2026) Strengthening economic activity in the US is set to support a pick-up in rental growth over the next year or so, but property performance is still likely to undershoot Europe. And while renewed Iran... 14th July 2026 · 0 mins read
US Commercial Property Rapid Response Commercial Property Lending (June 2026) At $9.1bn, net lending by banks to commercial real estate in June slowed slightly from a downwardly-revised May figure, consistent with a solid start to the year for investment. 13th July 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Jun. 2026) Higher mortgage rates weighing on homebuying The fall in existing home sales in June, together with the further rise in mortgage rates in recent months, continues to point to downside risks to our... 9th July 2026 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Lisbon office rents to outperform consensus expectations Above-average employment growth and continued demand for high-quality space mean we expect prime office rents in Lisbon will grow at a faster pace than most expect, as well as most other euro-zone... 9th July 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Jun. 2026) The modest rebound in buyer sentiment in June chimes with other evidence that suggests a turnaround in the housing market is underway and the downside risks to our forecast for house prices to rise by... 9th July 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Increased caution from lenders won’t trigger UK commercial capital value falls The sharp decline in the balance of lenders who see commercial property prices as a positive for the availability of credit could be a sign that higher interest rates caused by the Iran war will lead... 8th July 2026 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Updated fair value analysis drives higher cap rate forecasts The diminished spread between cap rates and the 10-year Treasury yield poses a challenge for real estate pricing. Looking ahead, in a world in which we expect the Treasury yield to stay near its... 8th July 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Lloyds House Prices (Jun. 2026) The modest rise in the Lloyds measure of house prices (rebranded from Halifax) in June suggests that the weak housing market may be starting to turn a corner. This will have further to go if the... 7th July 2026 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/CIPS UK Construction PMI (June 26) The construction sector appears to have stabilised in June as, after three straight months of falls, the headline CIPS construction PMI rose marginally, from 38.2 to 38.4. While that remains an... 6th July 2026 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Capacity pressures to persist despite housing weakness This week’s data will likely have reinforced the RBA’s view that tighter financial conditions are weighing on the housing market. But we doubt that housing wealth effects will push consumption much... 3rd July 2026 · 4 mins read
