US Housing Market Update Higher rates and tariffs to continue to limit homebuilding The renewed rise in mortgage rates reinforces our view that housing starts will fall further in the coming years, keeping downward pressure on residential investment. This does not imply an impending... 23rd September 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economic Outlook Rate hikes nearing their end The RBA will deliver another 25bp hike in September, given continued stickiness in underlying inflation. But unlike markets we doubt further tightening will prove necessary. With the labour market... 23rd September 2026 · 20 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Sep. 26) A negative yield impact outweighed rental growth in August, meaning all-property capital values recorded a year-on-year decline for the first time since late 2024. But we still think the 10-year gilt... 22nd September 2026 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Productivity gains not yet accompanied by weaker office demand Despite productivity gains that could reduce the need for office space, markets with a high share of information and communication jobs have generally seen stronger office take-up over the past year... 22nd September 2026 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Q3 2026 All-property valuation scores saw little movement in Q2, as property and alternative asset yields held steady. But the sharp rise in Treasury yields since then points to a worsening in valuations in... 18th September 2026 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update US Pending Home Sales & Mortgage Apps. (Aug. 2026) 30-year fixed mortgage rates nearly hit 7% in the week ending 11th September and are likely to have risen further since, with the 10-year Treasury yield – their closely correlated benchmark – briefly... 17th September 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Housing Starts (Aug. 2026) While single-family housing starts rebounded in August, the fall in the number of building permits issued last month suggests this strength will be short-lived. The big picture remains that elevated... 17th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Update Housing Watch (Sep. 2026) Higher borrowing costs took some momentum out of the housing market in August. We expect this to continue to halt the nascent recovery over the coming months. 15th September 2026 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Rapid Response US Commercial Property Lending (August) Net lending by banks to commercial real estate excluding farms recovered to $8.3bn in August, from $4.6bn in July. That’s in line with the average over the past year of $8.4bn. Within the total, net... 11th September 2026 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Trump may yet tighten the screw further While the Trump administration's planned import ban on some Canadian goods doesn't change much for the growth outlook, further escalation such as US withdrawal from CUSMA could be disastrous. We... 11th September 2026 · 6 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Fall in foreign students to weigh on UK PBSA rents Student accommodation yields have seen a relatively large 50bps increase over the past year. That looks to reflect a sharp drop in rental growth expectations, which in turn looks due to a renewed drop... 11th September 2026 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly One more RBA hike should do the job RBA policymakers continued to signal concerns about upside risks to inflation, while survey data showed that firms still face elevated price pressures. We expect a 25bp hike to 4.60% later this month... 11th September 2026 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Aug. 2026) The fall in existing home sales to 3.98m annualised in August will likely be followed by further declines over the next few months, as mortgage rates look set to climb above 7% amid a further selloff... 10th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Strong rent growth to push Spain to the top of the resi rankings Spanish residential property looks set to outperform the other larger European markets over the next five years, as still-strong demand on the back of high levels of immigration and tight supply boost... 10th September 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update RE:UK Consensus Forecasts (Sep. 26) The September RE:UK consensus forecasts showed further downgrades to property returns in 2026, as higher gilt yields from the Iran war put upward pressure on property yields. Revisions to other years... 10th September 2026 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Housing weakness not over yet Although the housing market wasn’t quite as weak in August as in recent months, the risk is that a further rebound in mortgage rates and/or speculation of tax rises ahead of the Budget dampens demand... 10th September 2026 · 3 mins read