Europe Commercial Property Update Are we too pessimistic about CEE retail rents? So far CEE markets have proved more resilient to the slowdown in European retail rents. While risks still skew to the upside, we expect that CEE retail rent growth rates will slow further, with... 23rd December 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Nov. 2025) Existing home sales rose to a nine-month high of 4.13m annualised in November and should climb further in the coming months, as deals agreed when borrowing costs fell in the third quarter continue to... 19th December 2025 · 2 mins read
Canada Economic Outlook Soft growth to keep Bank on pause in 2026 The labour market has bounced back from the US tariff shock, but uncertainty over CUSMA and lower immigration will hold back GDP growth, which we expect to average 1.2% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027. Lower... 18th December 2025 · 14 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Dec. 2025) While housing activity and prices have been resilient to uncertainty ahead of the Budget and the subdued economic backdrop, there are few signs of a post-Budget rebound in buyer sentiment. If... 17th December 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Dec. 25) Rental growth has ended the year on a strong note, but with yields stable total returns are beginning to ease from their recent level of around 8% y/y. And with yields set to see little movement over... 17th December 2025 · 1 min read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q4 2025) Global property returns have improved in 2025, though performance in APAC and the US has lagged Europe. This divergence is set to continue in 2026. However, we expect performance in the US will... 17th December 2025 · 0 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update Rental growth will help Japan defy the squeezed yield spread Rising interest rates in Japan have raised concerns about whether this will slow investment activity and exert downward pressure on capital values. Our view is that while the risk-free rate will... 16th December 2025 · 3 mins read
Canada Economics Update Canada Housing Watch (Dec. 2025) The housing market weakened in November, with sales activity and house prices both recording declines. Even so, the further improvement in the sales-to-new-listing ratio raises our confidence that... 15th December 2025 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Rapid Response US Commercial Property Lending (Nov. 25) Net lending by banks to commercial real estate jumped to $13.8bn in November, the strongest monthly outturn since February 2023. That followed a strong month for net lending in October, and as a... 12th December 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update IPF UK Commercial Property Consensus Forecasts (Dec. 25) The December IPF consensus survey forecasted all-property total returns of 7.8% p.a. over 2025-29, more-or-less unchanged from September. Indeed, the total return forecast has been stable for all of... 12th December 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update What does the Budget mean for UK commercial property? With our 10-year gilt yield forecast unchanged and the impact of changes to business rates broadly revenue neutral over the next five year years, we are not changing are commercial property forecasts... 11th December 2025 · 4 mins read
Canada Chart Pack Canada Chart Pack (Dec 2025) We expect GDP growth to average around 1% annualised over the next four quarters as household spending, investment and exports all remain subdued, while the latest budget won’t provide much short-term... 11th December 2025 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Commercial property recovery losing steam The recovery in European commercial property values is slowing and we think this will continue as soft economic growth weighs on rents and elevated interest rates limit yield-driven capital gains... 11th December 2025 · 23 mins read
UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Nov. 2025) Despite three quarters of the survey responses being gathered after the Budget, November’s RICS survey suggests buyer sentiment fell further in November even though actual housing activity and prices... 11th December 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economic Outlook RBA set to reverse course on rate cuts in 2026 The RBA is poised to join the rather exclusive club of advanced economy central banks that tightens policy in 2026. With growth accelerating when there’s little to no spare capacity and the labour... 10th December 2025 · 20 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q4 PREA consensus trimmed forecasts again, but not enough The Q4 PREA consensus downgraded the all-property forecast for 2026-29. Even so, the consensus is still notably more optimistic than us. Indeed, stretched valuations mean we expect a modest rise in... 9th December 2025 · 3 mins read
