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Our UK housing market coverage provides detailed analysis, independent forecasts, and outlooks for the UK's property sector. We offer rapid responses to new data and developments, along with in-depth coverage of key themes, current trends, and future outlooks for housing prices and market dynamics.

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This service provides detailed analysis and independent forecasts for the UK housing market, with a particular emphasis on how developments in the economy alter the prospects for housing.

This service is relevant to all those professionals engaged in the UK housing market, including developers, investors, mortgage lenders, together with all agents and financial advisers working in the industry.

The subscription to this service includes 2-3 emailed publications a week, access to our online research archive and our economists, and the opportunity to attend our conferences, forums and webinars.

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  • Unique, independent forecasts.
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UK Housing

Explore the UK housing market in data

We have recently launched our brand new interactive Dashboard that allows you to explore all of our forecasts and key data for UK housing.

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UK housing

Read our latest UK Housing Market Outlook

While house price declines have slowed and economic activity has proven more resilient than expected over the three months since our last Outlook, we are sticking to our forecast that house prices will fall by 12% in total.

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Key Forecasts

                          Main Forecasts

Q2 2024

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q4 2026

Bank Rate* (%)

5.25

5.00

4.50

4.00

3.50

3.00

3.00

3.00

Mortgage Interest Rate (%)

4.8

4.8

4.8

4.6

4.3

4.1

3.9

3.7

Nationwide House Prices (% y/y)

1.1

2.5

2.0

1.6

2.6

3.5

5.0

6.0

Completed Transactions (000s)

273

275

275

275

280

290

300

290

Mortgage Approvals – For House Purchase (000s)

181

180

185

190

195

200

205

200

Sources: Capital Economics, Refinitiv. *End period.

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