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What’s next for commercial real estate after the $500 billion wipeout of 2023? It’s a lot more complex than ‘mass obsolescence,’ industry watchers say

Sooner or later, commercial real estate’s day of reckoning had to come. Following an era of “cheap money” that stretched all the way back to the 2008 housing crash and Great Financial Crisis, fueling an “everything bubble” that coincided with an age of “superstar cities” and their mega-valuable office buildings, the higher interest rates of 2023 were a shock. It’s largely this higher interest rate environment that’s caused the substantial distress experienced thus far, amounting to what research firm Capital Economics estimates at a $590 billion loss in commercial real estate property values this year. But just how bad will things get in the new year? 

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