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Emerging Markets Economics

Our Emerging Markets service, backed by one of the largest teams of EM economists globally, offers timely reactions to market trends and insightful analysis of key issues, such as the end of economic outperformance, impacting emerging markets as a whole.

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From timely reactions to market developments to prescient deep dives into big picture issues such as the end of economic outperformance, this overview service provides insight into the cross-cutting themes and issues affecting emerging markets as a group. Our EM overview service includes access to a number of our proprietary indicators, including our monthly gauge of capital flows.

The subscription to this service includes 3-4 publications a week, access to our online research archive and our economists, and the opportunity to attend our conferences, forums and webinars.

  • Consensus-beating forecasts from one of the largest team of EM economists in the world.
  • Access to proprietary data that reveal what’s really happening in EMs.
  • Non-consensus, big picture analysis.
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Our View

Slower growth to trigger more rate cuts

EM growth has been resilient to US import tariffs, but headwinds from fiscal tightening, softer labour markets and (for some) lower commodity prices will drag growth down over the coming year. Most of our 2026 GDP growth forecasts lie below the consensus. This is still a relatively benign picture though. Growth is slowing, not slumping. Financial risks are limited. And central banks have room to cut interest rates further – and by more than is widely expected in some EMs. That makes a constructive environment for EM financial markets, although we’re unlikely to see a repeat of the stellar outperformance earlier this year.

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