We expect emerging market (EM) growth to slow to around 4.5% in 2013, with only a modest pick-up to 5.0% in 2014. This would be some way below average growth of 6.1% seen since 2000. What’s more, while part of the slowdown reflects cyclical factors related to a weak global economy, structural problemsare also at play. In other words, weaker EM growth is likely to be a permanent feature.
Subscriber content
Read this in full, free
Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.