Filtered by Subscriptions: UK Economics Use setting UK Economics
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What chance for a UK TARP? …
29th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Mortgage lending (August) …
28th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK CBI Distributive Trades Survey (Sep.) …
24th September 2008
Recent figures on the public finances, coupled with growing concerns over the public cost of measures to address the banking crisis, have led to major fears over the UK’s fiscal position. But our forecasts for the likely path of the economy over the next …
22nd September 2008
During past consumer spending slowdowns, consumer durables, such as household goods and vehicles, have been hit the hardest. And they look likely to come off worst this time too. Spending on essentials, such as food, tends to emerge relatively unscathed. …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Momentous events darken economic outlook …
The surprising strength of the official retail sales data in recent months continues to contrast with the much more downbeat tone of the survey evidence and the trading reports from retailers themselves. What’s more, it seems unlikely that consumers are …
18th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Retail Sales, Public Finances & M4 (Aug.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … MPC Minutes, Labour & CBI Industrial Survey …
17th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Consumer Prices (Aug.)/BoE Open Letter …
15th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Have the markets become complacent on inflation? …
Bank of England Governor Mervyn King today underlined the message that there are no quick fixes for the problems in the UK mortgage and housing markets. This supports the view that further sharp falls in house prices will prompt a deep downturn in the …
11th September 2008
The US government’s initially well-received intervention to support the Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, has prompted debate over the case for similar sort of action to support the housing market in the UK. But there …
10th September 2008
The credit crunch, high oil prices and slowdown in migration may have reduced the economy’s potential or “trend” rate of growth. But this won’t stop the impending recession from creating a large amount of spare capacity and hence putting strong downward …
9th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Trade (Jul.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … RICS Housing Market Survey (Aug.) …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Ind. Production & BRC Retail Sales (Jul./Aug.) …
8th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Sterling job, Darling …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Producer Prices (Aug.) …
7th September 2008
Lingering inflation concerns kept the Monetary Policy Committee’s finger off the interest rate trigger again today. But it is only a matter of time before it is forced to respond to the rapidly deteriorating outlook for the economy by cutting rates very …
4th September 2008
The Government today announced a number of measures designed to “meet current challenges in the housing market”. While some of the measures will help to ease the hardship faced by a few of the families worst affected by the housing market downturn, we are …
2nd September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK CIPS Report on Services (Aug.) …
The pound’s recent sharp fall is good news for the future prospects of the UK’s exporters. But it won’t prevent the Monetary Policy Committee from having to cut interest rates aggressively in response to the deep downturn in the housing market and …
The sharp falls in oil, wholesale gas and agricultural commodity prices seen over the last month have dramatically improved the outlook for inflation further ahead. Admittedly, the recent hefty price hikes announced by a number of gas and electricity …
Household bad debt appears to have embarked on an upward trend at the start of this year, with borrowers starting to buckle under the pressure of the credit crunch. With unemployment now rising, debt problems are likely to become increasingly widespread. …
1st September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Households and firms to share burden of recession …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK CIPS Manuf. Report & Mortgage Approvals …
31st August 2008
The interest rate debate remains finely balanced, with lingering upside risks to inflation likely to keep interest rates on hold in September. However, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) appears to be edging gradually towards a loosening bias and we …
28th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK CBI Distributive Trades Survey (Aug.) …
27th August 2008
Recent news on the UK economy, coupled with the growing danger of a fall in bank lending, has left us even more concerned over the likely severity of the economic downturn. We now expect GDP to fall by around ¼% next year, the first full-year contraction …
26th August 2008
With banks’ balance sheets under pressure, UK bank lending is set to rise more slowly, if not fall outright. This will have significant adverse effects on the UK economy, which may already be in recession. Indeed, we now expect the economy to contract in …
25th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Already in recession? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … GDP: Output, Income and Expenditure (Q2) …
22nd August 2008
The official retail sales data remain unusually volatile. But at the very least, it appears that the underlying trend in sales has been flat since the beginning of this year. What’s more, the gloomier message given by the surveys suggests that conditions …
21st August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK Retail Sales (Jul.) …
20th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … MPC Minutes (Aug.) & Public Finances (Jul.) …
19th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK economy near to recession “tipping point” …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dovish Report opens door to end year rate cut …
18th August 2008
The recent weakening in the outlook for the euro-zone economy – the destination for around half of the UK’s exports – suggests that there is a risk that activity in the UK will be even weaker than the Bank of England expects. … Weaker euro-zone economy to …
14th August 2008
