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This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Global backdrop even more challenging than last year …
12th April 2012
The recent slump in global equities is prompting comparisons with 2011, when the prices of riskier assets also fell away after a confident start. Our view is that the US economy will be more resilient this time around, providing some support for US …
11th April 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Cracks in market confidence widen further …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US labour market continuing to recover …
10th April 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … China has more work to do to internationalise the renminbi …
5th April 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will German Bunds continue to outshine US Treasuries? …
4th April 2012
The 10-year US Treasury yield rose by more than 20bp in March. The catalysts for a significant sell-off in the first half of the month were another encouraging employment report, reassuring results from the Fed’s latest bank stress tests, and a further …
3rd April 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Europe’s enhanced bail-out fund still inadequate …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Does global growth chime with global equity performance? …
2nd April 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Is the Saudi Oil Minister right on oil prices? …
30th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … "Bernanke bounce" has little momentum …
29th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Outlook still bleak for most commodity prices …
28th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Treasuries unlikely to be rocked by a buoyant labour market …
27th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Should US Treasuries fear the eventual onset of higher rates? …
26th March 2012
There have been seven major monetary policy tightening cycles in the US since the early 1970s. If these are a useful guide, the ten year Treasury yield will start to rise well before the first increase in rates in the next cycle. But provided the first …
23rd March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fears of a hard landing in China look overdone …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gilts welcome UK Budget …
22nd March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Too soon to call the peak in gold …
21st March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Rise in UK gilt yields not a sign of inflation fears …
20th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Brent still likely to end the year below USD100 …
19th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What's behind the spike in Treasury yields? …
16th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Treasury yields to remain anchored by near-zero short rates …
15th March 2012
We have revised our projections for the major Western government bond and stock markets, and for emerging markets, partly to reflect changes to our US economic forecasts and partly due to reduced fears of contagion from the further problems that we still …
14th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Germany on the mend? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US optimism offset by concerns over Greece and China …
13th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Doubts over Greek debt exchange already showing …
12th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Are US profit margins finally getting squeezed? …
9th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greece needs more than a successful debt exchange …
8th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Better news still coming on inflation despite higher oil prices …
7th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ISM surveys probably overstate strength of US economy …
6th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Central banks still have more work to do …
5th March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Equity investors may be expecting too much …
2nd March 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ECB’s liquidity provision alone cannot save the euro …
1st March 2012
The yen fell to its lowest level against the dollar in more than six months in February, with the exchange rate rising above 80. The principal catalysts for the weakening of the currency were probably investors’ growing appetite for risk, an apparent …
29th February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fed’s Bernanke unlikely to hint at QE3 …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets awaiting outcome of German vote on Greek rescue deal …
28th February 2012
Japan’s stock market has been on a roll. We do not expect the good times to last. Although we are revising up our end-2012 and end-2013 forecasts for the Nikkei 225 slightly, to 7,750 (versus 7,500 previously) and to 8,100 (versus 7,600), respectively, …
27th February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Agreement on IMF funding unlikely at G20 …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Iran premium in oil prices continues to climb …
24th February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … PMIs show euro-zone in worse shape than US and UK …
23rd February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Yen may not rebound quite so far …
22nd February 2012
The yen has fallen to its lowest level against the dollar in more than six months, with the exchange rate now just a whisker below 80. The principal catalysts for the weakening of the currency have been a shift in the relative prospects for unconventional …
21st February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … All eyes on Greece …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greek rescue deal could yet collapse …
20th February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Are US equities really attractively valued relative to bonds? …
17th February 2012
Part of the justification provided in some quarters for the recent rise in the US stock market is that equities are attractively valued relative to bonds. We do not dispute this fact – the equity risk premium is unusually large. But far from shrinking, we …
16th February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greece’s proposed bail-out still hanging in the balance …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Most commodity prices look set to fall sharply …
15th February 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Rise in US break-even inflation unlikely to last …
14th February 2012
