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This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Slower emerging market growth is here to stay …
28th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Crunch time for Spain …
27th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US consumers gaining in confidence …
26th September 2012
Tensions in the euro-zone have recently eased. However, we still anticipate that Greece and one or two other small countries will leave in due course. While we are not alone – a slim majority expects at least one departure by the end of 2014 – we think …
25th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Disappointing trade data a reminder the global economy is weak …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US data likely to provide mixed signals …
24th September 2012
The US Flow of Funds report published yesterday by the Federal Reserve suggests that the stock market remains significantly overvalued by historical standards. We doubt that equities are as far removed from their equilibrium value as they appear, but …
21st September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … QE3 unlikely to fuel commodity-led surge in inflation …
Emerging market equities are on course to underperform developed market equities for the second year in a row. We think this pattern is likely to continue through the end of 2013 even as the Fed unleashes a third round of quantitative easing (QE3). The …
20th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Yen set to strengthen further …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US Treasuries should continue to recover …
19th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ZEW survey may not provide much cheer …
18th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will the Fed-inspired rally run out of steam? …
17th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Copper market looks due a reality check …
14th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fed set to announce further unconventional stimulus …
13th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … German constitutional court set to rule on ESM …
12th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Caution may prevail again before too long …
11th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … All eyes on the Fed …
10th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ECB has not upped its policy support as much as it might seem …
7th September 2012
One popular misconception is that China’s reinvestment of its “surplus” savings has directly depressed long-term US Treasury yields. If this were true, why have yields remained so low in recent years, during which time China’s surplus savings have fallen? …
6th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … "Unlimited" ECB bond purchases may not add up to much …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Weak US economic data reinforce the case for QE3 …
5th September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold buoyed by prospect of QE3 …
4th September 2012
The prospect of further unconventional policy stimulus from the Fed and a summer lull in the euro-zone crisis supported risky assets in August. Nonetheless, we expect any extra boost to prices from the announcement of a third round of quantitative easing …
3rd September 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bernanke cements expectations of more policy stimulus …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bernanke may cement expectations of QE3 at Jackson Hole …
31st August 2012
One of the salient features of the US economy since the official end of the Great Recession has been the strength of corporate profits. Nonetheless, we are sceptical that it will last. … Cost control boosts US corporate …
30th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … QE3 unlikely to be a boon to the US stock market …
We expect any boost to equity prices from the announcement of a third round of quantitative easing (QE3) by the Fed to be much less significant than those that followed the first two rounds. … Has the US stock market fully discounted …
29th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Pressure builds again on Italy and Spain …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Focus shifts to Jackson Hole …
27th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Further Fed easing unlikely to be a game-changer …
24th August 2012
The US Fed looks set to launch QE3 soon, but a third injection of the same medicine is unlikely to be anywhere near as effective as the first two in supporting the prices of equities or commodities. US Treasury yields should still fall further, although …
23rd August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Growth concerns surface again …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Actions (and data) speak louder than words …
22nd August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Ceilings on euro-zone bond yields seem a step too far …
21st August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Price of copper set to renew its downward trend …
20th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Rally in Spanish and Italian stock markets unlikely to last …
17th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Weak global growth could weigh on stock markets …
16th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold’s fate is not only in the Fed’s hands …
15th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro-zone economy in the mire …
14th August 2012
A messy break-up of the euro-zone could see the yield on 10-year US Treasuries hit a new low. But the US does not appear set for a long period of deflation. Any crisis-driven decline in the yield towards the sub 1% level that prevails on 10-year Japanese …
13th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Boost to risky assets from Draghi's pledge unlikely to last long …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … A mixed outlook for Emerging European bonds …
10th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Treasuries should continue to outperform US equities (just) …
9th August 2012
Tomorrow marks the five year anniversary of the unofficial onset of the global credit crunch. For investors, the past half decade has been characterised by a very healthy US Treasury market, a lacklustre US stock market and a generally poor performance …
8th August 2012
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold should prosper even as dollar rebounds …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Trouble still lies ahead for the euro …
7th August 2012
The euro touched its highest level against the dollar in over a month on Monday, as the exchange rate temporarily climbed above $1.24. Yet we doubt it will be long before Europe’s single currency comes under renewed fire. We continue to expect the …
6th August 2012
The ten year Bund yield fell by about 30bp in July, almost fully reversing the rise seen in June. The decrease reflected a fresh intra-euro-zone “flight-to-safety” as ten year government bond yields in Spain, Italy and Portugal all ended the month higher …