Filtered by Subscriptions: Bonds & Equities Use setting Bonds & Equities
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Breakeven inflation rates keep on tumbling …
8th September 2008
OPEC will likely leave its official quotas on hold at its meeting on Tuesday, even though it may try to cut actual production in the coming months. Nonetheless, we do not think this will be enough to stop oil prices from falling to $90 per barrel (pb) …
5th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US payrolls likely to show another hefty decline …
Signs of impending recession and a rapid fall in commodity prices have caused investors to substantially revise their interest rate expectations downwards, especially for the UK and euro-zone. But they have still not done so by nearly enough. … Rate …
4th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bond market rally has further to run in the UK and euro-zone …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Yen should continue to stand tall …
3rd September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Aso likely to be Japan’s new PM …
2nd September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … First evidence that euro-zone CPI inflation may have peaked …
28th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US house prices not out of the woods yet …
27th August 2008
Commodity index funds differ from traditional speculation in commodities in significant ways. These underpin the possibility that such funds are having a material impact on prices. … How commodity index funds affect the price of …
26th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dollar pauses for breath …
25th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Widening swap spreads underscore growing risk aversion …
22nd August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Falling commodity prices not all good news for bonds …
21st August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US financial sector remains under the cosh …
20th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … BoJ unlikely to raise rates until early 2009 …
19th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How much further can inflation expectations fall? …
18th August 2008
Gold’s fall below $800/oz today has reinforced our long-held and non-consensus view that prices are heading for $700. Indeed, they may get there even sooner than we had expected. … Gold on track for …
15th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US inflation may now have peaked …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Sterling's fall has further to go …
14th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Worst still lies ahead for US economy …
13th August 2008
12th August 2008
Last week’s bounce has prompted us to raise our forecasts for the dollar against the euro, yen and sterling, but we had already expected the US currency to recover some ground in the second half of this year. Indeed, given the recent volatility of market …
11th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro collapse unlikely …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro to come under further pressure …
8th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Time for rate hikes has run out …
7th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Commodities to keep on falling …
6th August 2008
We think that the recent sharp falls in commodity prices are more than just a temporary dip in an upward trend. The focus has been on the oil price, which has fallen by more than $25 per barrel (or 18%) since early July. However, other commodity prices …
5th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … FOMC on hold …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Windows for interest rate hikes are rapidly shutting …
4th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US Q2 GDP was as good as it gets …
1st August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fed acts again to support financial sector …
31st July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK consumer spending to stagnate at best next year …
30th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Has the US housing market bottomed out? …
29th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Falling commodity prices and weaker growth a boon to bonds …
28th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Pace of renminbi appreciation to pick up again …
25th July 2008
Despite the slower pace of appreciation against the dollar in recent weeks, the renminbi is still likely to rise significantly more than the 5% or so priced into the forwards markets for the next 12 months. … No policy shift on the Chinese …
24th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Focus shifts to eurozone ahead of IFO, PMI data …
Contrary to the conventional wisdom, the absence of a build-up of crude oil inventories does not rule out the possibility that speculation has been helping to drive up oil prices. … Can speculation drive up oil prices without a rise in …
23rd July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Worst fears about inflation continue to fade …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Spotlight set to shift to weakening euro-zone economy …
22nd July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Inflation not all bad news …
21st July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Too soon to call the end of the bear market …
18th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Growth trumping inflation in the rate debate …
17th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Looking beyond dollar weakness …
16th July 2008
The media is again full of speculation that the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are about to revalue their currencies against the dollar, or drop their pegs completely in favour of a currency basket. We remain sceptical that any changes are …
15th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Investors reassured by Treasury/Fed action on GSEs …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bernanke to do his best to calm markets …
14th July 2008
Our central scenario assumes that oil prices and food inflation drop back in the second half of the year, reducing the burden on real incomes and the upward pressure on interest rates. This may come too late to prevent one or two quarters of falling GDP …
11th July 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … More bad news …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK yield curve to steepen as rate expectations fall …
10th July 2008
