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The collapse in oil prices in recent days has likely sent OPEC into a panic. The oil-producing cartel has advanced the timing of its “extraordinary” meeting from the 18th November to next Friday, where we think it will announce a cut in production as …
17th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Risky business …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Oil prices could slide further …
16th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Too soon to get overly enthusiastic about equities …
15th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Finding a floor …
14th October 2008
Bank recapitalisation on a global scale should help to prevent a complete meltdown in the financial sector, but the world economy is still facing a prolonged period of (at best) sluggish growth as the imbalances built up over many years are finally …
13th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … All eyes on the G7 …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … A rosy outlook for bonds …
10th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Central banks finally switch gears …
9th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Recapitalisation would only give bank stocks a temporary boost …
8th October 2008
We think that oil prices will decline to $80 per barrel in the coming weeks and perhaps as low as $50 in the coming year. Agricultural commodity prices could still drop by as much as a third from current levels and industrial metals by another quarter. …
7th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US & UK interest rates heading towards all-time lows …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK rates heading below 3.5%? …
6th October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … ECB to cut rates by year-end …
3rd October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Additional central bank liquidity will not solve this crisis …
2nd October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … TARP down, but not out …
1st October 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … TARP will not prevent further declines in equity prices …
30th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fiscal stimulus & bond yields - lessons from Japan …
29th September 2008
The US bank bailout is a necessary but far from sufficient condition for a decent economic recovery. We expect further falls in equity markets and government bond yields. But provided the dollar holds its ground, as we also expect, commodity prices should …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Would the Paulson plan actually work? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Financial bailout not enough to rescue US economy …
26th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fed not about to cut rates any time soon …
25th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK fiscal fears set to deepen …
24th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Deficits and the dollar …
23rd September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … RTC-2 will be no white knight …
22nd September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Where do we stand now? …
19th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Too early to sound the all-clear for equities …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Rescue measures highlight severity of credit crisis …
18th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Financials in the spotlight, but energy sector also hit hard …
17th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … AIG bailout shows how bad conditions have become …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US authorities draw a line in the sand …
16th September 2008
The continued decline in oil prices and today’s lacklustre response in gold prices to the crisis on Wall Street underlines our view that the bull market in both commodities is over. … Gold fails to shine as oil prices return to …
15th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Lehmans – trying (and failing) to find a silver lining …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Don’t expect risk appetite to return any time soon …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro slide looks a little stretched …
12th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Battening down the hatches …
11th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US swap spreads unlikely to narrow much further …
10th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Little reason to expect US swap spreads to narrow further …
9th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Financial stocks rally on GSE bail-out …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … The fall-out from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac …
8th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Breakeven inflation rates keep on tumbling …
OPEC will likely leave its official quotas on hold at its meeting on Tuesday, even though it may try to cut actual production in the coming months. Nonetheless, we do not think this will be enough to stop oil prices from falling to $90 per barrel (pb) …
5th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US payrolls likely to show another hefty decline …
Signs of impending recession and a rapid fall in commodity prices have caused investors to substantially revise their interest rate expectations downwards, especially for the UK and euro-zone. But they have still not done so by nearly enough. … Rate …
4th September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bond market rally has further to run in the UK and euro-zone …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Yen should continue to stand tall …
3rd September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Aso likely to be Japan’s new PM …
2nd September 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … First evidence that euro-zone CPI inflation may have peaked …
28th August 2008
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US house prices not out of the woods yet …
27th August 2008
Commodity index funds differ from traditional speculation in commodities in significant ways. These underpin the possibility that such funds are having a material impact on prices. … How commodity index funds affect the price of …
26th August 2008
