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This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … JGBs take S&P’s credit warning in their stride …
27th January 2010
The environment will be challenging for most asset classes in 2010. Economic growth is set to slow and unconventional policy stimulus is being slowly withdrawn. Valuations are looking stretched in many cases after last year’s spectacular rally, but are …
26th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How hot is China’s economy? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US bank reforms may not be enacted, but tide has turned …
25th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What does China’s tightening mean for the world? …
22nd January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How will policy tightening in China affect the rest of us? …
21st January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … A year of two halves …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … New forecasts for sterling …
20th January 2010
Sterling has had a rollercoaster ride over the past twelve months. This time last year it was at a multidecade low on a real trade-weighted basis. But the pound’s fortunes have improved since then and it has generally strengthened since the start of 2010. …
19th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Should we be worried about Brazil? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Can the US stock market keep on climbing? …
18th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greek fiscal plans fail to impress …
15th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Low inflation and sluggish recovery to keep ECB on hold …
14th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … China set for gradual tightening …
13th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … SNB intervention may not halt franc strength …
12th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Still a long road to recovery for the US labour market …
11th January 2010
2009 saw risky assets outperform safer ones. The month of December was no exception. Many expect this pattern to continue throughout 2010 as the global economy slowly recovers, inflation gathers steam and sovereign credit ratings come under fire. We …
8th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Less cash on the sidelines …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … No fear of the future …
7th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fiscal concerns should keep gilts under pressure, but not forever …
6th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … 2010 unlikely to be a repeat of 2009 for equities or bonds …
5th January 2010
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … West still at risk of a Japan-style Lost Decade …
23rd December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro on the slide …
22nd December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Deflation still haunting Japan …
21st December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … An end to QE would not spell disaster for gilts …
18th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Just how much of a boon to gilts has QE really been? …
17th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … A black year ahead for oil …
The current pick-up in headline inflation in the major economies is largely due to adverse base effects in energy prices. These base effects will fade soon even if oil prices now simply level out at around $70-75 per barrel (pb). However, we continue to …
16th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … 2010 should be a good year for US Treasuries …
Received wisdom has it that 2010 will be a bad year for US Treasuries. We disagree and expect the 10- year yield to drop back to around 2.5%. … Why the Treasury bears have got it …
15th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Abu Dhabi rides to Dubai’s rescue …
It is often assumed that the Fed’s monetary expansion has been unambiguously bad news for the dollar and could eventually lead to a collapse in the US currency. The reality is more complicated. We continue to expect the dollar to recover some more ground …
14th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … No need for the FOMC to change its tune …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US companies still in no mood to gear up …
11th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold prices to fall below $1000/oz in 2010 …
Today’s Flow of Funds report published by the Federal Reserve reveals that the market value of the equity issued by US non-financial companies at the end of the third quarter was 0.91 times the net worth (assets minus liabilities) of those companies at …
10th December 2009
We do not believe that gold prices have risen beyond levels that could ever be justified by fundamentals. However, the absence of a bubble today will not prevent prices from falling back sharply next year as some of the fundamental supports for gold fall …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Are emerging market equities in a bubble? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … No sign yet of bubbles in emerging markets …
9th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greece feels the pain …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Is the worst now over for the dollar? …
8th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US labour market recovering, but higher rates a long way off …
7th December 2009
The increases in many asset prices since the spring have been spectacular, and most markets chalked up further gains in November. Nonetheless, the rally has begun to look tired. Recent events in Dubai are not likely to mark a new phase in the global …
4th December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Future still bright for German government bonds …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How much longer before the US equity market hits a wall? …
3rd December 2009
The rally in the US equity market is nine months old and still going strong. This is not surprising. Equity prices typically start to rise six months or so before the economy emerges from recession. They also tend to go on climbing during the early stages …
2nd December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets underwhelmed by Bank of Japan’s latest move …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dubai’s worst case fears diminish …
1st December 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How worried should we be about a default in Greece? …
30th November 2009
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dubai or sell? …
27th November 2009
