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This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … More discouraging news on the way in the US …
23rd May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Commodity prices vulnerable to more than just the end of QE2 …
20th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Debt re-profiling would not resolve Greece's problems …
18th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Breakeven inflation rates have further to fall …
17th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US CPI inflation should peak soon …
16th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fundamentals increasingly negative for industrial commodities …
13th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Yen set to come under renewed pressure …
12th May 2011
The renewed appreciation of the yen over the past month has encouraged speculation that the Japanese currency will revisit the post-war record intraday high of 76.25 to the dollar seen on 17th March. However, while further gains are of course conceivable …
11th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … China's commodity demand already weakening …
The Federal Reserve’s second round of quantitative easing (QE2) ends next month. Last November, the FOMC announced that the Fed would purchase an extra $600bn in US government bonds by th middle of this year in addition to reinvesting principal payments …
10th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greece's problems continue to mount …
The growth rate of US domestic corporate profits has outstripped the growth rate of the US economy significantly since the end of the Great Recession. However, corporate profits are now coming under pressure. This is another reason to be cautious on the …
9th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Oil prices to fall below $90 by year-end …
This week’s sharp falls in commodity prices of all types may have been exaggerated by wild speculation but are mostly consistent with our view of the economic fundamentals. … Inflation fears to fade as commodity prices …
6th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will US Treasuries continue to outperform German Bunds? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Portugal not off the hook …
5th May 2011
The yield on 10-year US Treasuries declined in April despite concerns about the looming end of QE2 and S&P’s decision to revise its outlook on the longterm credit rating of the US government from stable to negative. We expect the yield to end the year at …
4th May 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Best days for the Aussie dollar may be over …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US economy still far from overheating …
29th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … UK rates likely to be on prolonged hold …
28th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bernanke likely to remain dovish …
27th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fed goes for greater transparency …
22nd April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold’s rally looks set to continue …
21st April 2011
As growth slows and inflation subsides, expectations of higher interest rates in the major developed economies should be scaled back significantly. The end of QE2 in the US should neither rattle Treasuries, nor emerging market assets. The US equity market …
20th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … China may allow faster renminbi gains to combat inflation …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Markets shrug off S&P’s decision to put US on negative outlook …
19th April 2011
Given the size of the US Federal deficit, which will be close to 10% of GDP this year, and the daunting medium-term fiscal challenges, it is hard to argue with S&P's decision to put a negative outlook on the country's AAA credit rating. Nevertheless, at a …
18th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Greece slips closer to the edge …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Inflation heading higher …
15th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Emerging markets should shrug off completion of QE2 …
14th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … May UK rate hike looking less of a done deal …
13th April 2011
The conclusion of the Fed’s second round of Treasury purchases is unlikely to be the major turning point for emerging market equities and bonds that many anticipate. Global financial conditions and local economic fundamentals should remain supportive for …
12th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … More shine left in silver …
The recent surge in the price of silver largely represents catch-up with gold after three years of underperformance. This phase of rapid catch-up is probably now drawing to an end. Nonetheless, the upward momentum is clearly strong and we continue to …
11th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … G20 is still more talk than action …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Don't expect other major central banks to follow the ECB's lead …
8th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Euro's strength may not last too much longer …
7th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Portugal inching closer to a bail-out …
6th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Four reasons why oil prices are likely to drop back …
5th April 2011
Japan’s equity market initially fell sharply after the Tohoku earthquake. However, share prices subsequently recovered some lost ground, aided by a weaker yen against the dollar as the G7 undertook coordinated currency intervention. Demand for Japanese …
4th April 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US labour market showing signs of improvement …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Is the outlook for US municipal bonds really that bleak? …
1st April 2011
Investors have become increasingly concerned about the outlook for the $3trn US municipal bond market. Although issuers of US municipal bonds are faced with many challenges, we think investors’ worst fears are overdone. This is unlikely to be the next leg …
31st March 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Yen should continue to weaken …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … End of QE2 need not be bad for US Treasuries …
30th March 2011
The completion of Fed purchases of Treasury securities is only likely to result in sustained increases in their yields if it leads to a reassessment of the outlook for short-term interest rates. Provided rates are expected to remain near zero, as we …
29th March 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … How long can the euro shrug off worries about default? …
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … The US labour market should have improved in March …
28th March 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Trouble still lies ahead for peripheral euro-zone economies …
25th March 2011
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Will the UK Government deliver a tough Budget? …
23rd March 2011