Filtered by Subscriptions: Capital Daily Use setting Capital Daily
China’s Caixin manufacturing PMI probably edged lower in June (Monday) The RBA is likely to cut its policy rate to 1.00% (Tuesday) We estimate that US non-farm payroll employment rose by 125,000 in June (Friday) Key Market Themes Another trade truce at …
28th June 2019
We estimate that Japan’s industrial production increased by 1.8% m/m in May (00.50 BST) Switzerland’s KOF Economic Barometer index probably rose in June (08.00 BST) US personal spending data are likely to point to rising consumption growth (13.30 BST) Key …
27th June 2019
Japan’s retail sales values probably rebounded in May (00.50 BST) We think that economic sentiment in the euro-zone remained subdued (10.00 BST) Mexico’s central bank is likely to stand pat for now (19.00 BST) Key Market Themes Unlike most other G10 …
26th June 2019
Fed Chair Jerome Powell due to speak about monetary policy (Tuesday) We expect the RBNZ to stand pat this week, but cut its policy rate later this year (03.00 BST) We think that US durable goods orders fell sharply in June (13.30 BST) Key Market Themes …
25th June 2019
We think that Hungary’s central bank will raise its overnight deposit rate (13.00 BST) US Conference Board consumer confidence index probably fell back in June (15.00 BST) Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s CFR interview might give details about dovish shift …
24th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Market reaction to US-Iran tensions likely to remain contained …
21st June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … We don’t expect the rallies in Treasuries, JGBs and Gilts to last …
20th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Investors hoping for unlikely mix of rate cuts and strong earnings …
19th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Waning appetite for risk likely to weigh on the euro in 2019 …
18th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What to make of the plunge in Treasury inflation compensation …
17th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Inflation compensation can fall further even if oil stabilises …
14th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Protests far from the biggest threat to HK equities …
13th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bund yields likely to stay low for longer than in 2016 …
12th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Real yields likely to rebound in the UK, pushing Gilt yields up …
11th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Don’t misread the increase in China’s fx reserves …
10th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Prospect of US rate cuts unlikely to keep S&P 500 rally going …
7th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Monetary policy unlikely to push Bund yields further down …
6th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Rate expectations shouldn’t undermine the dollar …
5th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold has not lost its lustre after all …
4th June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US stock market still an accident waiting to happen …
3rd June 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … DAX, FTSE MIB and Nikkei most exposed to auto tariffs …
31st May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … More upside for government bonds in Canada than elsewhere …
30th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Reassessing the rally in Treasuries …
29th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … What to make of the market reaction to the EU elections …
28th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Safe-haven flows, more than politics, likely to weigh on the euro …
24th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Gold likely to regain its lustre before the year is out …
23rd May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … The US/China trade war doesn’t pose a big risk to Treasuries …
22nd May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Sterling still at the mercy of Brexit developments …
21st May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Equities in India may continue to outperform those in Asia …
20th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Aussie dollar may fall further, particularly against the yen …
17th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Bund yields likely to stay negative for much longer than in 2016 …
16th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … BTPs likely to continue underperforming other peripheral bonds …
15th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Renminbi still a casualty, not a weapon, in trade war …
14th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Renewed curve inversion suggests slide in S&P 500 is not over …
13th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Post-tariff bounce in China’s stock markets unlikely to last …
10th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Safe havens likely to remain in demand regardless of trade deal …
9th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Outperformance of US equities may be coming to an end …
8th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … US economy a bigger risk than renewed trade conflict to S&P 500 …
7th May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Fed still likely to cut rates this year, pushing Treasury yields down …
3rd May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Powell’s inflation talk doesn’t alter our bullish view of Treasuries …
2nd May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dovish Fed unlikely to sustain S&P 500 rally …
1st May 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Investors still banking on an unlikely revival in China’s economy …
30th April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Politics will soon take the centre stage in European bond markets …
29th April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Dollar’s rise likely to continue, even if US GDP growth slips back …
26th April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Monetary policy may not be the key driver of DM currencies …
25th April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Economic outlook suggests US stock market will falter again …
24th April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Oil prices unlikely to keep pushing bond yields up …
23rd April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Underperformance of German and Japanese equities may not last …
18th April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Chinese equities likely to fare badly, even if economy stabilises …
17th April 2019
This report is only available as a PDF. Click to download. … Italy verging towards becoming as risky as Greece …
16th April 2019
