UK Housing Market Rapid Response UK Nationwide House Prices (Jan. 2026) Although Nationwide house prices rose by 0.3% m/m in January, that only partially reversed December’s fall and means there is little evidence of a post-Budget rebound in house prices. Even so, we are... 2nd February 2026 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Strong housing market bolsters case for RBA hikes Australia’s house price rally maintained solid momentum in January, while growth in advertised rents accelerated further. With the housing sector likely to feed inflationary pressures for a while to... 2nd February 2026 · 4 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Direction of next rate move depends on timeframe Heightened uncertainty surrounding the outlook has the Bank leaving all options on the table. While we think the policy rate’s next move will be upwards and not come until 2027, any change before then... 30th January 2026 · 5 mins read
US Economics Weekly Warsh faces an uphill battle at the Fed There was “broad support” among the FOMC to leave the fed funds target range unchanged at between 3.50% and 3.75% at this week’s meeting. Non-voting participants, according to Chair Jerome Powell... 30th January 2026 · 6 mins read
US Economics Update Warsh a relatively safe choice President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh to be the next Fed Chair is a relatively safe choice for investors, with Warsh’s prior hawkish views counteracting concerns he might morph into a full-blown... 30th January 2026 · 6 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada GDP (Nov 2025) We now know that GDP probably declined in the fourth quarter, and the monthly data for November is grimmer than first appears, with broad based declines in goods producing industries offset by a... 30th January 2026 · 2 mins read
US Rapid Response US PPI (Dec 2025) The 0.5% m/m increase in final demand PPI in December was mainly due to an increase in trade services margins. Excluding food, energy and trade services, core PPI increased by 0.4% m/m last month... 30th January 2026 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly Stronger pound helpful for BoE, but rising oil price is a risk While the pound's recent appreciation against the US dollar doesn't materially change the outlook for UK CPI inflation, the Bank of England will welcome a bit more disinflationary pressure. But one... 30th January 2026 · 4 mins read
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Money & Lending (Dec. 2025) December’s money and lending data suggest that households’ caution with their borrowing and saving hasn’t gone away, reinforcing our view that consumer spending will underperform the consensus... 30th January 2026 · 3 mins read
US Rapid Response New Fed Chair Announcement If officially announced later today, President Trump’s apparent pick of Kevin Warsh for the next Fed Chair would arguably be one of the better outcomes for investors compared to the other contenders... 30th January 2026 · 4 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly An LDP majority will not be fiscally profligate New polling suggests that the ruling Liberal Democratic Party is on track to secure an outright majority in the lower house following elections on February 8th. Although there have been concerns in... 30th January 2026 · 4 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Retail Sales & Industrial Production (Dec.) Although activity indicators for December were relatively soft, they won’t have prevented the economy from bouncing back across Q4 as a whole. Moreover, there are still reasons to be cautiously... 30th January 2026 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly Persistence in shelter inflation will keep RBA on edge With inflation once again surprising to the upside of its expectations, the Reserve Bank of Australia will almost certainly raise interest rates at its meeting next week. Moreover, much to the Bank’s... 29th January 2026 · 4 mins read
US Economics Update Larger tax refunds a windfall for households in H1 2026 Households’ annual tax refunds should be about $100bn larger this year, a windfall equivalent to 0.5% of annualised consumption. Although temporary, this boost gives us further reason to expect that... 29th January 2026 · 4 mins read
US Employment Report Preview Modest payroll gain and unchanged unemployment The January employment report will reveal significant downward revisions to payrolls in 2025 and, due to an updated methodology for the birth-death model, the initially reported payroll gains for this... 29th January 2026 · 6 mins read
US Rapid Response US International Trade (Nov. 2025) The sharp swings in trade continued in November, with the trade deficit rebounding sharply to $56.8bn, from the prior month’s multi-year low of $29.2bn, a move that will lower most estimates of fourth... 29th January 2026 · 1 min read