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US Chart Pack (Oct. 2023)

The renewed surge in long-term Treasury yields illustrates that the full impact of Fed tightening is still feeding through, and we continue to expect economic growth to slow sharply over the coming quarters. With core inflation still looking on course to return to the Fed’s 2% target by the second half of next year, we continue to expect the Fed to cut rates much more aggressively than markets are pricing in.

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