US Commercial Property Rapid Response US Commercial Property Lending (Jan.26) Net lending by banks to commercial real estate softened at the start of 2026 to $4.5bn in January, the lowest since September 2025. But the total of $33bn over the past three months represents a... 13th February 2026 · 1 min read
Capital Daily We doubt the Treasury rally will last Although the latest US inflation data has extended a Treasury rally that has left yields across the curve at their lows of the year, we think the totality of the data this week actually strengthens... 13th February 2026 · 4 mins read
US Economics Weekly Improving jobs market weakens case for more Fed cuts January's employment report was about as good as could have been hoped for, with a 172,000 rise in private payrolls comfortably beating expectations and the unemployment rate dropping further to 4.3%... 13th February 2026 · 10 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Up-and-down week foreshadows CUSMA renegotiation A week of political drama, much of it emanating from south of the border, provides useful insight into how we can expect the CUSMA renegotiation to unfold. 13th February 2026 · 8 mins read
US Rapid Response US Consumer Prices (Jan 2026) The 0.28% m/m increase in core CPI in January was mainly due to a bigger 0.38% m/m gain in core services prices, with core goods prices unchanged, suggesting that tariffs and unseasonably large hikes... 13th February 2026 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Jan 2026) The drop in existing home sales to a two-year low in January should prove temporary as the recent decline in borrowing costs feeds into greater homebuyer demand, notwithstanding some potential near... 12th February 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Chart Pack Canada Chart Pack (Feb 2026) We expect GDP growth to be little more than 1% this year as household spending and investment remain subdued amid the immigration crackdown and start of CUSMA renegotiation. Despite soft employment... 12th February 2026 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Is it time for the S&P 500’s non-tech sectors to shine? There are positive signs for earnings outside of the “tech” sectors of the US stock market, which might help them continue to fare well. But we still think tech will do better over the rest of 2026. 12th February 2026 · 4 mins read
Capital Daily Robust US payrolls point to higher Treasury yields The blockbuster US non-farm payrolls report released earlier today strengthens the case for higher US Treasury yields and a rebound in the dollar over the coming months. 11th February 2026 · 4 mins read
US Rapid Response US Employment Report (Jan. 2026) The 172,000 surge in private payrolls in January owed a lot to a 124,000 surge in health care & social assistance, but private sector hiring elsewhere still appears to be strengthening. Indeed, the... 11th February 2026 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update Buy versus rent dynamics favour apartment markets in the Midwest and New York State The large cost gap between buying and renting today underpins our upbeat national apartment demand forecast. Applying the same logic at the city level, demand in Midwestern and New York State metros... 10th February 2026 · 5 mins read
US Rapid Response US Retail Sales (Dec. 2025) The weaker-than-expected retail sales data for December won’t be enough to spoil the fourth quarter, with our estimate of fourth-quarter GDP growth still at 3.8% annualised. But, together with the... 10th February 2026 · 2 mins read
Equities Focus Why we still believe in the AI rally, and the S&P 500 We think the tech-led rally in the S&P 500 will resume, and that 2026 will be a good year for the index despite its rocky start and the many threats facing it. This Equities Focus explains why. 10th February 2026 · 17 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q4 RICS survey shows US real estate market well into recovery phase The latest RICS survey showed that US commercial real estate is now well into the recovery phase, with improvements across the occupier and investment indicators. Rental expectations are therefore... 9th February 2026 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily Takaichi’s triumph, UK drama, US data: what it means for markets Calm may be on the way for Japan’s markets now the election is out of the way: we don’t expect a further sell-off in JGBs and forecast a stronger yen. But renewed political turmoil in the UK might be... 9th February 2026 · 6 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Housing could take a while to thaw The local real estate board data for January shows that the housing market is still struggling, and we probably can’t blame it all on the weather. Meanwhile, the large fall in the unemployment rate... 6th February 2026 · 4 mins read
