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Thinner savings rate buffer for spending in Q4

Private consumption remained resilient in the face of the record COVID wave in Q3, suggesting that households have finally learned to live with the virus. We’ve revised up our Q3 spending forecast, but that also means there will be less scope for a strong rebound in consumption in Q4 and we have revised down our Q4 forecast. That said, private consumption will still grow by an impressive 3% in 2022.

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