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Currency markets and the G10 easing cycle

With the post-pandemic global monetary tightening cycle now drawing to a close, this Update takes stock of where interest rate expectations in the G10 economies stand and what that implies for the currency outlook over the coming quarter as more and more central banks shift towards easing next year. In our view, the obvious winner is the yen, while the US dollar is likely to weaken over the next couple of years.

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