Nationwide House Prices (Nov.)

House prices recorded another above-consensus gain in November as strong buyer demand bid prices up further. There is little sign of that dynamic changing anytime soon, so we expect the consensus forecast for 2022 to continue to be revised up closer to our own view.
Andrew Wishart Property Economist
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UK Housing Market Data Response

IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Dec.)

The construction PMI declined last month to end the year on a negative note, more than erasing the gain made in November. Despite tentative signs that they are starting to ease, we expect labour and supply shortages will continue to dampen output in the near term.

7 January 2022

UK Housing Market Data Response

Halifax House Prices (Dec.)

Another substantial rise in the Halifax house price index in December ensured that the lender agreed with Nationwide that the rise in house prices over the 2021 calendar year was the strongest for at least 15 years. And there is no sign of prices losing momentum yet.

7 January 2022

UK Housing Market Update

UK house price growth set for a year of two halves

Strong demand will ensure that house prices maintain their momentum in the first half of the year. But rising mortgage rates will weigh on demand further out, causing prices to cool.

6 January 2022

More from Andrew Wishart

UK Housing Market Data Response

Mortgage Lending (Oct.)

Mortgage approvals remained robust in October after the end of the stamp duty holiday, only easing back into line with their pre-pandemic average. With demand strong, we suspect that mortgage approvals will move back above pre-virus levels in 2022, although limited inventory could be a constraint.

29 November 2021

UK Housing Market Update

300,000 supply target remains out of reach

The most comprehensive statistics on housing supply confirmed that the pause in construction in Q2 2020 caused completions of new homes to drop back. Housebuilding activity has since recovered but materials shortages, the end of the Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme, and a cooling market suggest that the high water mark for new housing supply has already been and gone.

29 November 2021

UK Housing Market Update

Where is all the stock?

Estate agents undoubtedly have a very limited number of homes on the books. But the idea that the lack of supply is due to few homes being put up for sale is a misconception. High numbers of transactions inevitably mean that listings are higher than usual, but they are being outstripped by even stronger demand as large numbers of first-time buyers look for homes.

24 November 2021
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