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Reassessing our forecasts for US markets

We still expect a higher 10-year Treasury yield, lower S&P 500 and stronger US dollar over the remainder of the year, but have pared back our forecasts for the rise in yields and fall in equities. In particular, we now suspect the 10-year yield is unlikely to surpass the peak it reached in June any time soon. In view of the wider interest, we are also sending this Global Markets Update to clients of our Asset Allocation and FX Market Services. Bank of England Drop-In (4th August, 10:30 ET/15:30 BST): Join our post-MPC, 20-minute online briefing to find out why we think UK rates will rise by more than most expect, despite a looming recession. Register now

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