Central Bank Hub
Your one-stop-shop guide to global monetary policymaking. Here you'll find links to our latest research, as well as policy rate and balance sheet forecasts, for the world's major developed and emerging market central banks.
Click on the country/economy name to view the latest central bank research
| Links to latest research | Next meeting | Policy rate (%) | Next change | End-2023 (%) | End-2024 (%) | Balance sheet |
| US | 1 Nov. | 5.25-5.50 | No change | 5.25-5.50 | 3.25-3.50 | Quantitative tightening likely to be paused in late 2024 as interest rates are cut. |
| Euro-zone | 26 Oct. | 4.00 | -25bp (Sep. 2024) | 4.00 | 3.25 | Balance sheet to shrink by €15bn per month from March to June, with pace of run-down likely to accelerate thereafter. |
| Japan | 31 Oct. | -0.10 | No change | -0.10 | 0.10 | Yield Curve Control to remain in place until the Bank publishes its policy review next year |
| UK | 2 Nov. | 5.25 | -25bp (Nov. 2024) | 5.25 | 4.75 |
BoE reducing stock of government bond holdings by £100bn (£50bn of maturities and £50bn of active sales) over the period from October 2023 to September 2024. |
| Canada | 25 Oct. | 5.00 | -50bp (Jan. 2024) | 5.00 | 3.00 | Bonds roll off the balance sheet as they mature, with almost 30% of the Bank’s holdings set to mature between mid-2023 and the end of 2024. The Bank has hinted that it will bring QT to a close around the start of 2025, by when it should have reached its desired level of reserves |
| Australia | 3 Oct. | 4.10 | -25bp (Mar. 2024) | 4.10 | 3.10 | We expect the RBA to pause quantitative tightening once the Bank begins to cut the cash rate from mid-2024 |
| Switzerland | 14 Dec. | 1.75 | No change | 1.75 | 1.25 | A reduction in size to support the franc. |
| Sweden | 22 Nov. | 4.00 |
+25bp (Dec. 2023) |
4.25 | 3.25 | Asset sales underway and balance sheet will shrink by ~SEK200bn in both 2023 and 2024. |
| Norway | 2 Nov. | 4.25 | +25bp (Dec. 2023) | 4.50 | 3.75 | – |
| New Zealand | 4 Oct. | 5.50 | -50bp (May 2024) | 5.50 | 3.25 | RBNZ to sell $5bn of its bond holdings every fiscal year. |
| China | - | 2.00 |
None on horizon |
2.00 | 2.00 | – |
| India | 6 Oct. | 6.50 | -50bp (Feb. 2024) | 6.50 | 5.50 | – |
| Brazil | 1 Nov. | 12.75 | -50bp (Nov. 2023) | 11.75 | 9.50 | – |
| Russia | 27 Oct. | 13.00 | +100bp (Oct. 2023) | 14.50 | 12.50 | – |
| Mexico | 28 Sep. | 11.25 | -25bp (Q4 2023) | 11.00 | 9.00 | – |
| South Korea | 19 Oct. | 3.50 | -25bp (Oct. 2023) | 3.00 | 2.50 | – |
| Turkey | 26 Oct. | 30.00 |
+250bp (Oct. 2023) |
35.00 | 35.00 | – |
| Indonesia | 19 Oct. | 5.75 |
-25bp (Dec 2023) |
5.50 | 4.75 | – |
| Poland |
4 Oct. |
6.00 | -25bp (Nov 2023) | 5.75 | 4.75 | – |
| South Africa | 23 Nov. | 8.25 | -25bp (Q1 2024) | 8.25 | 7.50 | – |
Gauging the economic effects of banking turmoil: Our latest Global Central Bank Watch highlights the data that policymakers will be watching to judge the extent to which credit conditions are tightening. These indicators will be among the key determinants of future interest rate decisions.
The evolution of central banking
Read key selections from our in-depth analysis about how we expect monetary policymaking to change.
